Case study

BAJAJINDEF

Indef Manufacturing Limited

Tread carefully1y model -5.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

Indef Manufacturing Limited (BAJAJINDEF) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BAJAJINDEF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Indef Manufacturing Limited (BAJAJINDEF) trades at ₹233,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, Indef Manufacturing Limited (BAJAJINDEF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 30.9× earnings, ROE of 9.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BAJAJINDEF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹744 Cr
Current price
₹233
P/E ratio
30.9×
P/B ratio
2.76×
Book value
₹84
Dividend yield
0.86%
ROCE
9.4%
ROE
9.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How BAJAJINDEF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold 3-year profit (PAT) growth or 3-year revenue growth figures for BAJAJINDEF, as of 9 Aug 2026, so those are not ranked here.

Is BAJAJINDEF overvalued? BAJAJINDEF P/E vs peers

BAJAJINDEF trades at 30.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BAJAJINDEF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.4y of BAJAJINDEF history (-10%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BAJAJINDEF 2027₹109₹220₹445-5%
BAJAJINDEF 2028₹78₹208₹559-10%
BAJAJINDEF 2029₹58₹197₹674-15%
BAJAJINDEF 2030₹46₹186₹757-20%
BAJAJINDEF 2031₹37₹176₹835-24%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BAJAJINDEF goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
41%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
21%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹465 within 5 years

The bull case for BAJAJINDEF

  • Indef Manufacturing Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹674.

The bear case & risks

  • BAJAJINDEF's P/E of 30.9x is lower than 45% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BAJAJINDEF's return on equity of 9.2% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹58.

BAJAJINDEF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.4 years BAJAJINDEF compounded at -10%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹109-₹445, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BAJAJINDEF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.4 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.4%
80% range₹109-₹445
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.3%
80% range₹58-₹674
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.1%
80% range₹37-₹835
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)21%

BAJAJINDEF price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BAJAJINDEF simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BAJAJINDEF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BAJAJINDEF price target & forecast page.

BAJAJINDEF Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BAJAJINDEF scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

BAJAJINDEF MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BAJAJINDEF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST36.67%2.7×

Compare every broker on the BAJAJINDEF MTF page.

About Indef Manufacturing Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Indef Manufacturing Limited (BAJAJINDEF) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹744 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BAJAJINDEF Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indef Manufacturing Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BAJAJINDEF analysis, FAQs

Is Indef Manufacturing Limited (BAJAJINDEF) a good buy?

On the numbers, Indef Manufacturing Limited (BAJAJINDEF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 30.9× earnings, ROE of 9.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BAJAJINDEF overvalued or undervalued?

BAJAJINDEF trades at 30.9× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BAJAJINDEF share price target for 2031?

BAJAJINDEF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹176, with an 80% range of ₹37-₹835 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BAJAJINDEF doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BAJAJINDEF reaching ₹465 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.

What is the bull case for BAJAJINDEF?

Indef Manufacturing Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in BAJAJINDEF?

BAJAJINDEF's P/E of 30.9x is lower than 45% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BAJAJINDEF's return on equity of 9.2% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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