Case study

BALKRISIND

Balkrishna Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model +7.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BALKRISIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) trades at ₹2,466,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 33.9× earnings, ROE of 9.7%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BALKRISIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹47,678 Cr
Current price
₹2,466
P/E ratio
33.9×
P/B ratio
4.35×
Book value
₹567
Dividend yield
0.65%
ROCE
11.2%
ROE
9.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How BALKRISIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BALKRISIND overvalued? BALKRISIND P/E vs peers

BALKRISIND trades at 33.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BALKRISIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BALKRISIND history (19%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BALKRISIND 2027₹1,785₹2,647₹3,924+7%
BALKRISIND 2028₹1,619₹2,840₹4,983+15%
BALKRISIND 2029₹1,538₹3,048₹6,039+24%
BALKRISIND 2030₹1,490₹3,270₹7,178+33%
BALKRISIND 2031₹1,453₹3,509₹8,479+42%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BALKRISIND goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
69%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,933 within 5 years

The bull case for BALKRISIND

  • Balkrishna Industries Limited is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,039.

The bear case & risks

  • BALKRISIND's P/E of 33.9x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BALKRISIND's return on equity of 9.7% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,538.

BALKRISIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BALKRISIND compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,785-₹3,924, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BALKRISIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.3%
80% range₹1,785-₹3,924
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
23.6%
80% range₹1,538-₹6,039
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
42.3%
80% range₹1,453-₹8,479
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)32%

BALKRISIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BALKRISIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BALKRISIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BALKRISIND price target & forecast page.

BALKRISIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BALKRISIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

BALKRISIND MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BALKRISIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.24%3.2×
Zerodha31.21%3.2×
Groww31.37%3.2×
Dhan31.21%3.2×
Kotak Neo31.25%3.2×
Paytm Money31.37%3.2×
PocketfulCHEAPEST30.28%3.3×
Anand Rathi31.21%3.2×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share India31.33%3.2×

Compare every broker on the BALKRISIND MTF page.

About Balkrishna Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹47,678 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BALKRISIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Balkrishna Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BALKRISIND analysis, FAQs

Is Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Balkrishna Industries Limited (BALKRISIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 33.9× earnings, ROE of 9.7%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BALKRISIND overvalued or undervalued?

BALKRISIND trades at 33.9× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BALKRISIND share price target for 2031?

BALKRISIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,509, with an 80% range of ₹1,453-₹8,479 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BALKRISIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BALKRISIND reaching ₹4,933 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for BALKRISIND?

Balkrishna Industries Limited is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in BALKRISIND?

BALKRISIND's P/E of 33.9x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BALKRISIND's return on equity of 9.7% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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