BALRAMCHIN
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (BALRAMCHIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BALRAMCHIN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (BALRAMCHIN) trades at ₹633,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (BALRAMCHIN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 35.4× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BALRAMCHIN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How BALRAMCHIN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- BALRAMCHIN's market cap of 13,395 Cr ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BALRAMCHIN's book value of ₹205 ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BALRAMCHIN's promoter holding of 42.9% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BALRAMCHIN's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 10.0% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BALRAMCHIN's 3-year revenue growth of 10.0% ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BALRAMCHIN's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is BALRAMCHIN overvalued? BALRAMCHIN P/E vs peers
BALRAMCHIN trades at 35.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
BALRAMCHIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BALRAMCHIN history (16%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALRAMCHIN 2027 | ₹415 | ₹663 | ₹1,059 | +5% |
| BALRAMCHIN 2028 | ₹361 | ₹693 | ₹1,333 | +9% |
| BALRAMCHIN 2029 | ₹319 | ₹725 | ₹1,649 | +14% |
| BALRAMCHIN 2030 | ₹298 | ₹759 | ₹1,931 | +20% |
| BALRAMCHIN 2031 | ₹283 | ₹794 | ₹2,229 | +25% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BALRAMCHIN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BALRAMCHIN
- Balrampur Chini Mills Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,649.
The bear case & risks
- BALRAMCHIN's P/E of 35.4x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BALRAMCHIN's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹319.
BALRAMCHIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years BALRAMCHIN compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹415-₹1,059, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BALRAMCHIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BALRAMCHIN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BALRAMCHIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BALRAMCHIN price target & forecast page.
BALRAMCHIN Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BALRAMCHIN scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
BALRAMCHIN MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BALRAMCHIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.63% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 31.60% | 3.2× |
| Groww | 31.66% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 31.60% | 3.2× |
| Kotak Neo | 31.65% | 3.2× |
| Paytm Money | 31.66% | 3.2× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 31.12% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 31.60% | 3.2× |
| Bajaj Broking | 32.00% | 3.1× |
| Share India | 31.61% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the BALRAMCHIN MTF page.
About Balrampur Chini Mills Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (BALRAMCHIN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,395 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the BALRAMCHIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Balrampur Chini Mills Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BALRAMCHIN analysis, FAQs
Is Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (BALRAMCHIN) a good buy?
On the numbers, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (BALRAMCHIN) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 35.4× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BALRAMCHIN overvalued or undervalued?
BALRAMCHIN trades at 35.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the BALRAMCHIN share price target for 2031?
BALRAMCHIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹794, with an 80% range of ₹283-₹2,229 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BALRAMCHIN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BALRAMCHIN reaching ₹1,267 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for BALRAMCHIN?
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in BALRAMCHIN?
BALRAMCHIN's P/E of 35.4x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BALRAMCHIN's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.