Case study

BANARISUG

Bannari Amman Sugars Limited

Mixed signals1y model +8.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

50Score

Bannari Amman Sugars Limited (BANARISUG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BANARISUG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bannari Amman Sugars Limited (BANARISUG) trades at ₹3,491,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.

On the numbers, Bannari Amman Sugars Limited (BANARISUG) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing premium at 29.6× earnings, ROE of 8.0%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BANARISUG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,378 Cr
Current price
₹3,491
P/E ratio
29.6×
P/B ratio
2.29×
Book value
₹1,526
Dividend yield
0.36%
ROCE
9.3%
ROE
8.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How BANARISUG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for BANARISUG, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is BANARISUG overvalued? BANARISUG P/E vs peers

BANARISUG trades at 29.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BANARISUG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BANARISUG history (7%/yr drift, 25%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BANARISUG 2027₹2,766₹3,791₹5,195+9%
BANARISUG 2028₹2,651₹4,116₹6,391+18%
BANARISUG 2029₹2,589₹4,470₹7,716+28%
BANARISUG 2030₹2,581₹4,854₹9,129+39%
BANARISUG 2031₹2,594₹5,270₹10,708+51%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BANARISUG goes up, or doubles?

64%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
77%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹6,982 within 5 years

The bull case for BANARISUG

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹3,791 (+9%).
  • Relatively low volatility (25%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,716.

The bear case & risks

  • BANARISUG's P/E of 29.6x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BANARISUG's return on equity of 8.0% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,589.

BANARISUG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BANARISUG compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 25%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,766-₹5,195, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BANARISUG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.6%
80% range₹2,766-₹5,195
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
28.0%
80% range₹2,589-₹7,716
P(price ↑)72%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
51.0%
80% range₹2,594-₹10,708
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)31%

BANARISUG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BANARISUG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BANARISUG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BANARISUG price target & forecast page.

BANARISUG Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BANARISUG scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

BANARISUG MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BANARISUG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST26.50%3.8×

Compare every broker on the BANARISUG MTF page.

About Bannari Amman Sugars Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Bannari Amman Sugars Limited (BANARISUG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,378 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BANARISUG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bannari Amman Sugars Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BANARISUG analysis, FAQs

Is Bannari Amman Sugars Limited (BANARISUG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bannari Amman Sugars Limited (BANARISUG) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing premium at 29.6× earnings, ROE of 8.0%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BANARISUG overvalued or undervalued?

BANARISUG trades at 29.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BANARISUG share price target for 2031?

BANARISUG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,270, with an 80% range of ₹2,594-₹10,708 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BANARISUG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BANARISUG reaching ₹6,982 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for BANARISUG?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹3,791 (+9%). Relatively low volatility (25%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in BANARISUG?

BANARISUG's P/E of 29.6x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BANARISUG's return on equity of 8.0% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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