BASF
Basf India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Basf India Limited (BASF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BASF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Basf India Limited (BASF) trades at ₹4,091,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Basf India Limited (BASF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 28.7× earnings, ROE of 10.9%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BASF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How BASF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- BASF's market cap of 17,708 Cr ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BASF's book value of ₹914 ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BASF's promoter holding of 73.3% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BASF's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 17.0% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BASF's 3-year revenue growth of 17.0% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BASF's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03x is lower than 90% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is BASF overvalued? BASF P/E vs peers
BASF trades at 28.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
BASF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BASF history (13%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BASF 2027 | ₹2,663 | ₹4,322 | ₹7,015 | +6% |
| BASF 2028 | ₹2,282 | ₹4,566 | ₹9,137 | +12% |
| BASF 2029 | ₹2,054 | ₹4,824 | ₹11,325 | +18% |
| BASF 2030 | ₹1,911 | ₹5,096 | ₹13,588 | +25% |
| BASF 2031 | ₹1,786 | ₹5,384 | ₹16,231 | +32% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BASF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BASF
- Basf India Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,325.
The bear case & risks
- BASF's P/E of 28.7x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BASF's return on equity of 10.9% ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,054.
BASF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years BASF compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,663-₹7,015, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BASF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BASF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BASF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BASF price target & forecast page.
BASF Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BASF scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
BASF MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BASF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 31.16% | 3.2× |
| Groww | 31.19% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 31.16% | 3.2× |
| Kotak Neo | 31.15% | 3.2× |
| Paytm Money | 31.19% | 3.2× |
| Pocketful | 31.06% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 31.16% | 3.2× |
| Bajaj Broking | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 30.97% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the BASF MTF page.
About Basf India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Basf India Limited (BASF) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,708 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the BASF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Basf India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BASF analysis, FAQs
Is Basf India Limited (BASF) a good buy?
On the numbers, Basf India Limited (BASF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 28.7× earnings, ROE of 10.9%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BASF overvalued or undervalued?
BASF trades at 28.7× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the BASF share price target for 2031?
BASF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,384, with an 80% range of ₹1,786-₹16,231 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BASF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BASF reaching ₹8,182 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for BASF?
Basf India Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in BASF?
BASF's P/E of 28.7x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BASF's return on equity of 10.9% ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.