Case study

BATAINDIA

Bata India Limited

Tread carefully1y model +6.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Bata India Limited (BATAINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BATAINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bata India Limited (BATAINDIA) trades at ₹720,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Bata India Limited (BATAINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 55.0× earnings, ROE of 10.6%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BATAINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹9,260 Cr
Current price
₹720
P/E ratio
55.0×
P/B ratio
5.81×
Book value
₹124
Dividend yield
1.25%
ROCE
12.7%
ROE
10.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How BATAINDIA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BATAINDIA overvalued? BATAINDIA P/E vs peers

BATAINDIA trades at 55.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BATAINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BATAINDIA history (3%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BATAINDIA 2027₹534₹765₹1,096+6%
BATAINDIA 2028₹483₹812₹1,366+13%
BATAINDIA 2029₹454₹862₹1,637+20%
BATAINDIA 2030₹445₹916₹1,886+27%
BATAINDIA 2031₹425₹972₹2,225+35%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BATAINDIA goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
68%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,441 within 5 years

The bull case for BATAINDIA

  • Bata India Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,637.

The bear case & risks

  • BATAINDIA's P/E of 55.0x is lower than 24% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BATAINDIA's return on equity of 10.6% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹454.

BATAINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BATAINDIA compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹534-₹1,096, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BATAINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.2%
80% range₹534-₹1,096
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
19.7%
80% range₹454-₹1,637
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
34.9%
80% range₹425-₹2,225
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)27%

BATAINDIA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BATAINDIA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BATAINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BATAINDIA price target & forecast page.

BATAINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BATAINDIA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

BATAINDIA MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BATAINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.92%3.3×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.90%3.3×
Groww29.96%3.3×
Dhan29.90%3.3×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money30.04%3.3×
Pocketful30.18%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.90%3.3×
Bajaj Broking31.00%3.2×
Share India29.95%3.3×

Compare every broker on the BATAINDIA MTF page.

About Bata India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Bata India Limited (BATAINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,260 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BATAINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bata India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BATAINDIA analysis, FAQs

Is Bata India Limited (BATAINDIA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bata India Limited (BATAINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 55.0× earnings, ROE of 10.6%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BATAINDIA overvalued or undervalued?

BATAINDIA trades at 55.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BATAINDIA share price target for 2031?

BATAINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹972, with an 80% range of ₹425-₹2,225 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BATAINDIA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BATAINDIA reaching ₹1,441 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for BATAINDIA?

Bata India Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in BATAINDIA?

BATAINDIA's P/E of 55.0x is lower than 24% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BATAINDIA's return on equity of 10.6% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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