Case study

BBL

Bharat Bijlee Limited

Mixed signals1y model +2.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

Bharat Bijlee Limited (BBL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BBL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bharat Bijlee Limited (BBL) trades at ₹2,329,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, Bharat Bijlee Limited (BBL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.5× earnings, ROE of 6.0%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BBL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,633 Cr
Current price
₹2,329
P/E ratio
23.5×
P/B ratio
1.30×
Book value
₹1,795
Dividend yield
1.50%
ROCE
8.4%
ROE
6.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How BBL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BBL overvalued? BBL P/E vs peers

BBL trades at 23.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BBL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BBL history (18%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BBL 2027₹1,353₹2,397₹4,245+3%
BBL 2028₹1,100₹2,466₹5,529+6%
BBL 2029₹946₹2,537₹6,805+9%
BBL 2030₹830₹2,610₹8,204+12%
BBL 2031₹743₹2,685₹9,707+15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BBL goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,659 within 5 years

The bull case for BBL

  • BBL's P/E of 23.5x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,805.

The bear case & risks

  • BBL's return on equity of 6.0% ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹946.

BBL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BBL compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,353-₹4,245, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BBL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.9%
80% range₹1,353-₹4,245
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.9%
80% range₹946-₹6,805
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.3%
80% range₹743-₹9,707
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)29%

BBL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BBL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BBL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BBL price target & forecast page.

BBL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BBL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

BBL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BBL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha34.82%2.9×
Groww34.90%2.9×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money49.89%2.0×
Pocketful34.91%2.9×
Anand Rathi34.82%2.9×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST34.61%2.9×

Compare every broker on the BBL MTF page.

About Bharat Bijlee Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Bharat Bijlee Limited (BBL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,633 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BBL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bharat Bijlee Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BBL analysis, FAQs

Is Bharat Bijlee Limited (BBL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bharat Bijlee Limited (BBL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.5× earnings, ROE of 6.0%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BBL overvalued or undervalued?

BBL trades at 23.5× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BBL share price target for 2031?

BBL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,685, with an 80% range of ₹743-₹9,707 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BBL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BBL reaching ₹4,659 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for BBL?

BBL's P/E of 23.5x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in BBL?

BBL's return on equity of 6.0% ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on BBL