BBOX
Black Box Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Black Box Limited (BBOX) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BBOX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Black Box Limited (BBOX) trades at ₹744,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Black Box Limited (BBOX) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 48.2× earnings, ROE of 26.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BBOX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How BBOX ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener
- BBOX's market cap of 13,221 Cr ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BBOX's book value of ₹73 ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BBOX's promoter holding of 70.0% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BBOX's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 83.0% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BBOX's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90x is lower than 17% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for BBOX, as of 8 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is BBOX overvalued? BBOX P/E vs peers
BBOX trades at 48.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
BBOX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BBOX history (42%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBOX 2027 | ₹430 | ₹771 | ₹1,382 | +4% |
| BBOX 2028 | ₹342 | ₹798 | ₹1,859 | +7% |
| BBOX 2029 | ₹293 | ₹826 | ₹2,324 | +11% |
| BBOX 2030 | ₹256 | ₹855 | ₹2,855 | +15% |
| BBOX 2031 | ₹232 | ₹885 | ₹3,369 | +19% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BBOX goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BBOX
- BBOX's return on equity of 26.8% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BBOX's return on capital employed of 22.2% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,324.
The bear case & risks
- BBOX's P/E of 48.2x is lower than 28% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹293.
BBOX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years BBOX compounded at 42%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹430-₹1,382, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BBOX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BBOX price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BBOX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BBOX price target & forecast page.
BBOX Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BBOX scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
BBOX MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BBOX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.53% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 36.79% | 2.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 36.77% | 2.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Share India | 36.73% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the BBOX MTF page.
About Black Box Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Black Box Limited (BBOX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,221 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the BBOX Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Black Box Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BBOX analysis, FAQs
Is Black Box Limited (BBOX) a good buy?
On the numbers, Black Box Limited (BBOX) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 48.2× earnings, ROE of 26.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BBOX overvalued or undervalued?
BBOX trades at 48.2× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the BBOX share price target for 2031?
BBOX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹885, with an 80% range of ₹232-₹3,369 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BBOX doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BBOX reaching ₹1,489 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for BBOX?
BBOX's return on equity of 26.8% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. BBOX's return on capital employed of 22.2% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in BBOX?
BBOX's P/E of 48.2x is lower than 28% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.