BCG
Brightcom Group Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Brightcom Group Limited (BCG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BCG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Brightcom Group Limited (BCG) trades at ₹9,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100.
On the numbers, Brightcom Group Limited (BCG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing inexpensive at 1.9× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BCG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How BCG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- BCG's market cap of 1,877 Cr ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BCG's book value of ₹52 ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BCG's promoter holding of 18.4% ranks in the bottom 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BCG's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -11.0% ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BCG's 3-year revenue growth of -2.0% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for BCG, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is BCG overvalued? BCG P/E vs peers
BCG trades at 1.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
BCG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BCG history (6%/yr drift, 66%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCG 2027 | ₹4 | ₹8 | ₹20 | -9% |
| BCG 2028 | ₹2 | ₹8 | ₹25 | -18% |
| BCG 2029 | ₹2 | ₹7 | ₹30 | -26% |
| BCG 2030 | ₹1 | ₹6 | ₹33 | -33% |
| BCG 2031 | ₹1 | ₹6 | ₹37 | -39% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BCG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BCG
- BCG's P/E of 1.9x is lower than 96% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.18×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹30.
The bear case & risks
- BCG's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BCG's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (66%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2.
BCG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years BCG compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 66%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4-₹20, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BCG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BCG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BCG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BCG price target & forecast page.
BCG Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BCG scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
BCG MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BCG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 44.52% | 2.2× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Share India | 44.73% | 2.2× |
Compare every broker on the BCG MTF page.
About Brightcom Group Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Brightcom Group Limited (BCG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,877 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the BCG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Brightcom Group Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BCG analysis, FAQs
Is Brightcom Group Limited (BCG) a good buy?
On the numbers, Brightcom Group Limited (BCG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing inexpensive at 1.9× earnings, ROE of 10.0%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BCG overvalued or undervalued?
BCG trades at 1.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the BCG share price target for 2031?
BCG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹6, with an 80% range of ₹1-₹37 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BCG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BCG reaching ₹19 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.
What is the bull case for BCG?
BCG's P/E of 1.9x is lower than 96% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.18×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in BCG?
BCG's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BCG's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.