BELRISE
BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD (BELRISE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BELRISE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD (BELRISE) trades at ₹248,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD (BELRISE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 44.1× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 98% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BELRISE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is BELRISE overvalued? BELRISE P/E vs its sector
BELRISE's P/E of 44.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.22% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
BELRISE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.1y of BELRISE history (86%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BELRISE 2027 | ₹319 | ₹528 | ₹882 | +119% |
| BELRISE 2028 | ₹566 | ₹1,149 | ₹2,369 | +377% |
| BELRISE 2029 | ₹1,031 | ₹2,521 | ₹6,110 | +946% |
| BELRISE 2030 | ₹1,963 | ₹5,481 | ₹15,332 | +2173% |
| BELRISE 2031 | ₹3,859 | ₹11,992 | ₹37,923 | +4874% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BELRISE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BELRISE
- A healthy 12.6% return on equity.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 98% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹528 (+119%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,110.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 44.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,031.
BELRISE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.1 years BELRISE compounded at 86%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹319–₹882, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BELRISE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BELRISE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BELRISE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BELRISE price target & forecast page.
BELRISE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BELRISE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
BELRISE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BELRISE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.3% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.3% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.3% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the BELRISE MTF page.
BELRISE vs peers,sector comparison
About BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD (BELRISE) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,092 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the BELRISE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BELRISE analysis, FAQs
Is BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD (BELRISE) a good buy?
On the numbers, BELRISE INDUSTRIES LTD (BELRISE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 44.1× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 98% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BELRISE overvalued or undervalued?
BELRISE trades at 44.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the BELRISE share price target for 2031?
BELRISE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹11,992, with an 80% range of ₹3,859–₹37,923 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BELRISE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BELRISE reaching ₹482 (2×) within 5 years is 100%.
What is the bull case for BELRISE?
A healthy 12.6% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 98% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹528 (+119%).
What are the risks in BELRISE?
A rich 44.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.