BEPL
Bhansali Polymers
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Bhansali Polymers (BEPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BEPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Bhansali Polymers (BEPL) trades at ₹105,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100.
On the numbers, Bhansali Polymers (BEPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.5× earnings, ROE of 17.3%, a 32% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BEPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is BEPL overvalued? BEPL P/E vs its sector
BEPL's P/E of 14.5× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 3.81% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
BEPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BEPL history (-11%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEPL 2027 | ₹53 | ₹88 | ₹144 | -17% |
| BEPL 2028 | ₹36 | ₹74 | ₹147 | -30% |
| BEPL 2029 | ₹26 | ₹61 | ₹142 | -42% |
| BEPL 2030 | ₹20 | ₹51 | ₹134 | -52% |
| BEPL 2031 | ₹14 | ₹41 | ₹124 | -61% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BEPL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BEPL
- Trades at just 14.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- A healthy 17.3% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (23.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 3.8% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹142.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 32% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹26.
BEPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years BEPL compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹53–₹144, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BEPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BEPL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BEPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BEPL price target & forecast page.
BEPL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BEPL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
BEPL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BEPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.2% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the BEPL MTF page.
BEPL vs peers,sector comparison
About Bhansali Polymers: sector, index & market-cap context
Bhansali Polymers (BEPL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,610 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the BEPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bhansali Polymers's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BEPL analysis, FAQs
Is Bhansali Polymers (BEPL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Bhansali Polymers (BEPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.5× earnings, ROE of 17.3%, a 32% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BEPL overvalued or undervalued?
BEPL trades at 14.5× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the BEPL share price target for 2031?
BEPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹41, with an 80% range of ₹14–₹124 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BEPL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BEPL reaching ₹212 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for BEPL?
Trades at just 14.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 17.3% return on equity. Strong ROCE (23.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in BEPL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 32% chance of finishing above today's price.