Case study

BETA

BETA

Mixed signals1y model +15.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

BETA (BETA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BETA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

BETA (BETA) trades at ₹2,148,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, BETA (BETA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 52.5× earnings, ROE of 18.8%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BETA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,177 Cr
Current price
₹2,148
P/E ratio
52.5×
P/B ratio
8.91×
Book value
₹241
ROCE
19.2%
ROE
18.8%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is BETA overvalued? BETA P/E vs its sector

BETA's P/E of 52.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

BETA P/E
52.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

BETA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BETA history (25%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BETA 2027₹1,205₹2,288₹4,291+15%
BETA 2028₹1,069₹2,640₹6,291+33%
BETA 2029₹979₹2,993₹8,740+50%
BETA 2030₹942₹3,405₹11,789+71%
BETA 2031₹940₹3,875₹16,032+95%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BETA goes up, or doubles?

61%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
72%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
49%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,980 within 5 years

The bull case for BETA

  • High return on equity (18.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (19.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,288 (+15%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹8,740.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 52.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 8.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹979.

BETA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years BETA compounded at 25%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,205₹4,291, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BETA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
15.0%
80% range₹1,205–₹4,291
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)13%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
50.4%
80% range₹979–₹8,740
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)36%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
94.7%
80% range₹940–₹16,032
P(price ↑)72%
P(price 2×)49%

BETA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BETA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BETA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BETA price target & forecast page.

BETA Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BETA scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

BETA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BETA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×
Dhan64.0%1.6×

Compare every broker on the BETA MTF page.

BETA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
BETA (this stock)52.5×₹2,177 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About BETA: sector, index & market-cap context

BETA (BETA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,177 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the BETA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BETA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BETA analysis, FAQs

Is BETA (BETA) a good buy?

On the numbers, BETA (BETA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 52.5× earnings, ROE of 18.8%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BETA overvalued or undervalued?

BETA trades at 52.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the BETA share price target for 2031?

BETA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,875, with an 80% range of ₹940₹16,032 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BETA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BETA reaching ₹3,980 (2×) within 5 years is 49%.

What is the bull case for BETA?

High return on equity (18.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (19.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,288 (+15%).

What are the risks in BETA?

A rich 52.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 8.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on BETA