BFUTILITIE
BF Utilities
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
BF Utilities (BFUTILITIE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BFUTILITIE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
BF Utilities (BFUTILITIE) trades at ₹649,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, BF Utilities (BFUTILITIE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.0× earnings, ROE of 113.0%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BFUTILITIE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is BFUTILITIE overvalued? BFUTILITIE P/E vs its sector
BFUTILITIE's P/E of 16.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers.
BFUTILITIE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BFUTILITIE history (-16%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFUTILITIE 2027 | ₹269 | ₹498 | ₹927 | -24% |
| BFUTILITIE 2028 | ₹157 | ₹375 | ₹907 | -43% |
| BFUTILITIE 2029 | ₹97 | ₹282 | ₹816 | -57% |
| BFUTILITIE 2030 | ₹62 | ₹213 | ₹726 | -68% |
| BFUTILITIE 2031 | ₹40 | ₹163 | ₹630 | -75% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BFUTILITIE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BFUTILITIE
- A 16.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (113.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (29.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹816.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 12.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹97.
BFUTILITIE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years BFUTILITIE compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹269–₹927, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BFUTILITIE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BFUTILITIE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BFUTILITIE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BFUTILITIE price target & forecast page.
BFUTILITIE Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BFUTILITIE scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
BFUTILITIE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BFUTILITIE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.0% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the BFUTILITIE MTF page.
BFUTILITIE vs peers,sector comparison
About BF Utilities: sector, index & market-cap context
BF Utilities (BFUTILITIE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,440 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the BFUTILITIE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BF Utilities's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BFUTILITIE analysis, FAQs
Is BF Utilities (BFUTILITIE) a good buy?
On the numbers, BF Utilities (BFUTILITIE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.0× earnings, ROE of 113.0%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BFUTILITIE overvalued or undervalued?
BFUTILITIE trades at 16.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the BFUTILITIE share price target for 2031?
BFUTILITIE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹163, with an 80% range of ₹40–₹630 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BFUTILITIE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BFUTILITIE reaching ₹1,319 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for BFUTILITIE?
A 16.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (113.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (29.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in BFUTILITIE?
A steep 12.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.