Case study

BHAGCHEM

Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd.

Tread carefully1y model +4.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. (BHAGCHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BHAGCHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. (BHAGCHEM) trades at ₹286,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. (BHAGCHEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 135.0× earnings, ROE of 2.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BHAGCHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,703 Cr
Current price
₹286
P/E ratio
135.0×
P/B ratio
5.32×
Book value
₹54
Dividend yield
0.05%
ROCE
4.5%
ROE
2.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How BHAGCHEM ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is BHAGCHEM overvalued? BHAGCHEM P/E vs peers

BHAGCHEM trades at 135.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BHAGCHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BHAGCHEM history (34%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BHAGCHEM 2027₹172₹295₹505+5%
BHAGCHEM 2028₹148₹308₹641+9%
BHAGCHEM 2029₹129₹323₹809+14%
BHAGCHEM 2030₹115₹337₹986+20%
BHAGCHEM 2031₹107₹353₹1,158+25%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BHAGCHEM goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹564 within 5 years

The bull case for BHAGCHEM

  • Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹809.

The bear case & risks

  • BHAGCHEM's P/E of 134.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • BHAGCHEM's return on equity of 2.6% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹129.

BHAGCHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BHAGCHEM compounded at 34%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹172-₹505, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BHAGCHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.6%
80% range₹172-₹505
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.4%
80% range₹129-₹809
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
25.1%
80% range₹107-₹1,158
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)31%

BHAGCHEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BHAGCHEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BHAGCHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BHAGCHEM price target & forecast page.

BHAGCHEM Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BHAGCHEM scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

BHAGCHEM MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BHAGCHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.98%2.8×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww36.03%2.8×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money36.03%2.8×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi36.01%2.8×
Bajaj Broking38.00%2.6×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST35.97%2.8×

Compare every broker on the BHAGCHEM MTF page.

About Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context

Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. (BHAGCHEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,703 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BHAGCHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BHAGCHEM analysis, FAQs

Is Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. (BHAGCHEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. (BHAGCHEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 135.0× earnings, ROE of 2.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BHAGCHEM overvalued or undervalued?

BHAGCHEM trades at 135.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BHAGCHEM share price target for 2031?

BHAGCHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹353, with an 80% range of ₹107-₹1,158 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BHAGCHEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BHAGCHEM reaching ₹564 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for BHAGCHEM?

Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Ltd. is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in BHAGCHEM?

BHAGCHEM's P/E of 134.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. BHAGCHEM's return on equity of 2.6% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

More on BHAGCHEM