Case study

BHARATSE

Bharat Seats Limited

Mixed signals1y model -13.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Bharat Seats Limited (BHARATSE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BHARATSE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bharat Seats Limited (BHARATSE) trades at ₹241,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Bharat Seats Limited (BHARATSE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 32.0× earnings, ROE of 20.4%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BHARATSE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,513 Cr
Current price
₹241
P/E ratio
32.0×
P/B ratio
6.58×
Book value
₹37
Dividend yield
0.62%
ROCE
20.2%
ROE
20.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How BHARATSE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BHARATSE overvalued? BHARATSE P/E vs peers

BHARATSE trades at 32.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BHARATSE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BHARATSE history (18%/yr drift, 74%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BHARATSE 2027₹81₹207₹530-14%
BHARATSE 2028₹48₹178₹665-26%
BHARATSE 2029₹30₹154₹793-36%
BHARATSE 2030₹19₹132₹897-45%
BHARATSE 2031₹14₹114₹946-53%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BHARATSE goes up, or doubles?

42%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
32%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
19%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹482 within 5 years

The bull case for BHARATSE

  • BHARATSE's return on equity of 20.4% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BHARATSE's return on capital employed of 20.2% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹793.

The bear case & risks

  • BHARATSE's P/E of 32.0x is lower than 43% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (74%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹30.

BHARATSE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BHARATSE compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 74%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹81-₹530, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BHARATSE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
13.9%
80% range₹81-₹530
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)12%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
36.2%
80% range₹30-₹793
P(price ↑)36%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
52.8%
80% range₹14-₹946
P(price ↑)32%
P(price 2×)19%

BHARATSE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BHARATSE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BHARATSE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BHARATSE price target & forecast page.

BHARATSE Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BHARATSE scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

BHARATSE MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BHARATSE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha42.10%2.4×
Groww42.04%2.4×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money42.39%2.4×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
FyersCHEAPEST41.67%2.4×
Share India41.98%2.4×

Compare every broker on the BHARATSE MTF page.

About Bharat Seats Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Bharat Seats Limited (BHARATSE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,513 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BHARATSE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bharat Seats Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BHARATSE analysis, FAQs

Is Bharat Seats Limited (BHARATSE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bharat Seats Limited (BHARATSE) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 32.0× earnings, ROE of 20.4%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BHARATSE overvalued or undervalued?

BHARATSE trades at 32.0× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BHARATSE share price target for 2031?

BHARATSE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹114, with an 80% range of ₹14-₹946 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BHARATSE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BHARATSE reaching ₹482 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.

What is the bull case for BHARATSE?

BHARATSE's return on equity of 20.4% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BHARATSE's return on capital employed of 20.2% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in BHARATSE?

BHARATSE's P/E of 32.0x is lower than 43% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (74%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on BHARATSE