Case study

BI

Bilcare Ltd

Screens weak1y model -2.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

Bilcare Ltd (BI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about BI, and the method behind each one.

Bilcare Ltd (BI) trades at ₹77,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Bilcare Ltd (BI) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.1× earnings, ROE of 1.7%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹180 Cr
Current price
₹77
P/E ratio
9.1×
P/B ratio
0.92×
Book value
₹84
ROCE
5.6%
ROE
1.7%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How BI ranks against the 2,982 companies in our screener

Is BI overvalued? BI P/E vs peers

BI trades at 9.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BI history (5%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BI 2027₹39₹75₹147-2%
BI 2028₹28₹73₹190-5%
BI 2029₹22₹72₹232-7%
BI 2030₹19₹70₹264-9%
BI 2031₹15₹68₹312-11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BI goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹154 within 5 years

The bull case for BI

  • BI's P/E of 9.1x is lower than 86% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.92×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹232.

The bear case & risks

  • BI's return on equity of 1.7% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • BI's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹22.

BI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BI compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹39-₹147, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹39-₹147
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.0%
80% range₹22-₹232
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.4%
80% range₹15-₹312
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)24%

BI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BI price target & forecast page.

BI Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BI scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

About Bilcare Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Bilcare Ltd (BI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹180 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bilcare Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BI analysis, FAQs

Is Bilcare Ltd (BI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bilcare Ltd (BI) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.1× earnings, ROE of 1.7%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BI overvalued or undervalued?

BI trades at 9.1× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BI share price target for 2031?

BI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹68, with an 80% range of ₹15-₹312 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BI reaching ₹154 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for BI?

BI's P/E of 9.1x is lower than 86% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.92×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in BI?

BI's return on equity of 1.7% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026. BI's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on BI

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.