Case study

BIKAJI

Bikaji Foods Intern

Tread carefully1y model -9.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Bikaji Foods Intern (BIKAJI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BIKAJI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bikaji Foods Intern (BIKAJI) trades at ₹663,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Bikaji Foods Intern (BIKAJI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 63.4× earnings, ROE of 17.5%, a 38% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BIKAJI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹16,569 Cr
Current price
₹663
P/E ratio
63.4×
P/B ratio
10.34×
Book value
₹64
Dividend yield
0.19%
ROCE
19.7%
ROE
17.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is BIKAJI overvalued? BIKAJI P/E vs its sector

BIKAJI's P/E of 63.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.19% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

BIKAJI P/E
63.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
BIKAJI div yield
0.19%
Peer median yield
1.65%

BIKAJI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BIKAJI history (-5%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BIKAJI 2027₹395₹600₹909-9%
BIKAJI 2028₹300₹537₹986-19%
BIKAJI 2029₹235₹487₹1,005-26%
BIKAJI 2030₹192₹440₹1,005-33%
BIKAJI 2031₹158₹399₹998-40%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BIKAJI goes up, or doubles?

38%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
24%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
5%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,320 within 5 years

The bull case for BIKAJI

  • A healthy 17.5% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (19.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,005.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 63.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 38% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹235.

BIKAJI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years BIKAJI compounded at -5%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹395₹909, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BIKAJI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.1%
80% range₹395–₹909
P(price ↑)38%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.3%
80% range₹235–₹1,005
P(price ↑)29%
P(price 2×)4%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
39.6%
80% range₹158–₹998
P(price ↑)24%
P(price 2×)5%

BIKAJI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BIKAJI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BIKAJI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BIKAJI price target & forecast page.

BIKAJI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BIKAJI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

BIKAJI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BIKAJI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST28.9%3.5×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST28.9%3.5×
DhanCHEAPEST28.9%3.5×

Compare every broker on the BIKAJI MTF page.

BIKAJI vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
BIKAJI (this stock)63.4×0.19%₹16,569 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Bikaji Foods Intern: sector, index & market-cap context

Bikaji Foods Intern (BIKAJI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,569 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the BIKAJI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bikaji Foods Intern's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BIKAJI analysis, FAQs

Is Bikaji Foods Intern (BIKAJI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bikaji Foods Intern (BIKAJI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 63.4× earnings, ROE of 17.5%, a 38% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BIKAJI overvalued or undervalued?

BIKAJI trades at 63.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the BIKAJI share price target for 2031?

BIKAJI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹399, with an 80% range of ₹158₹998 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BIKAJI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BIKAJI reaching ₹1,320 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.

What is the bull case for BIKAJI?

A healthy 17.5% return on equity. Strong ROCE (19.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in BIKAJI?

A rich 63.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 38% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on BIKAJI