Case study

BIRLACABLE

Birla Cable Ltd

Screens weak1y model -1.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

Birla Cable Ltd (BIRLACABLE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about BIRLACABLE, and the method behind each one.

Birla Cable Ltd (BIRLACABLE) trades at ₹288,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Birla Cable Ltd (BIRLACABLE) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.7× earnings, ROE of 6.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BIRLACABLE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹866 Cr
Current price
₹288
P/E ratio
18.7×
P/B ratio
3.08×
Book value
₹94
Dividend yield
0.43%
ROCE
9.0%
ROE
6.3%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How BIRLACABLE ranks against the 2,982 companies in our screener

Is BIRLACABLE overvalued? BIRLACABLE P/E vs peers

BIRLACABLE trades at 18.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BIRLACABLE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BIRLACABLE history (22%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BIRLACABLE 2027₹160₹300₹563-1%
BIRLACABLE 2028₹122₹297₹722-2%
BIRLACABLE 2029₹102₹294₹850-3%
BIRLACABLE 2030₹83₹291₹1,019-4%
BIRLACABLE 2031₹73₹288₹1,132-5%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BIRLACABLE goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
48%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹606 within 5 years

The bull case for BIRLACABLE

  • BIRLACABLE's P/E of 18.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹850.

The bear case & risks

  • BIRLACABLE's return on equity of 6.3% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹102.

BIRLACABLE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BIRLACABLE compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹160-₹563, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BIRLACABLE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.0%
80% range₹160-₹563
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.0%
80% range₹102-₹850
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹73-₹1,132
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)24%

BIRLACABLE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BIRLACABLE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BIRLACABLE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BIRLACABLE price target & forecast page.

BIRLACABLE Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BIRLACABLE scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

About Birla Cable Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Birla Cable Ltd (BIRLACABLE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹866 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BIRLACABLE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Birla Cable Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BIRLACABLE analysis, FAQs

Is Birla Cable Ltd (BIRLACABLE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Birla Cable Ltd (BIRLACABLE) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.7× earnings, ROE of 6.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BIRLACABLE overvalued or undervalued?

BIRLACABLE trades at 18.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BIRLACABLE share price target for 2031?

BIRLACABLE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹288, with an 80% range of ₹73-₹1,132 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BIRLACABLE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BIRLACABLE reaching ₹606 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for BIRLACABLE?

BIRLACABLE's P/E of 18.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in BIRLACABLE?

BIRLACABLE's return on equity of 6.3% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on BIRLACABLE

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.