BIRLAMONEY
Aditya Birla Money Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Aditya Birla Money Limited (BIRLAMONEY) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BIRLAMONEY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Aditya Birla Money Limited (BIRLAMONEY) trades at ₹132,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100.
On the numbers, Aditya Birla Money Limited (BIRLAMONEY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing expensive at 78.5× earnings, ROE of 26.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BIRLAMONEY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How BIRLAMONEY ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- BIRLAMONEY's market cap of 748 Cr ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BIRLAMONEY's book value of ₹3 ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BIRLAMONEY's promoter holding of 73.5% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BIRLAMONEY's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 20.0% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BIRLAMONEY's 3-year revenue growth of 9.0% ranks in the 47th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- BIRLAMONEY's debt-to-equity ratio of 15.82x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is BIRLAMONEY overvalued? BIRLAMONEY P/E vs peers
BIRLAMONEY trades at 78.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
BIRLAMONEY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BIRLAMONEY history (17%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIRLAMONEY 2027 | ₹74 | ₹134 | ₹244 | +2% |
| BIRLAMONEY 2028 | ₹58 | ₹137 | ₹323 | +3% |
| BIRLAMONEY 2029 | ₹49 | ₹139 | ₹393 | +5% |
| BIRLAMONEY 2030 | ₹42 | ₹141 | ₹473 | +7% |
| BIRLAMONEY 2031 | ₹38 | ₹143 | ₹542 | +8% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BIRLAMONEY goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BIRLAMONEY
- BIRLAMONEY's return on equity of 26.0% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹393.
The bear case & risks
- BIRLAMONEY's P/E of 78.5x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 45.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹49.
BIRLAMONEY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years BIRLAMONEY compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹74-₹244, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BIRLAMONEY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BIRLAMONEY price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BIRLAMONEY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BIRLAMONEY price target & forecast page.
BIRLAMONEY Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BIRLAMONEY scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
BIRLAMONEY MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BIRLAMONEY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 45.00% | 2.2× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 35.84% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the BIRLAMONEY MTF page.
About Aditya Birla Money Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Aditya Birla Money Limited (BIRLAMONEY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹748 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the BIRLAMONEY Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Aditya Birla Money Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BIRLAMONEY analysis, FAQs
Is Aditya Birla Money Limited (BIRLAMONEY) a good buy?
On the numbers, Aditya Birla Money Limited (BIRLAMONEY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing expensive at 78.5× earnings, ROE of 26.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BIRLAMONEY overvalued or undervalued?
BIRLAMONEY trades at 78.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the BIRLAMONEY share price target for 2031?
BIRLAMONEY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹143, with an 80% range of ₹38-₹542 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BIRLAMONEY doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BIRLAMONEY reaching ₹265 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for BIRLAMONEY?
BIRLAMONEY's return on equity of 26.0% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in BIRLAMONEY?
BIRLAMONEY's P/E of 78.5x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 45.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.