Case study

BIRLANU

Birlanu Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

30Score

Birlanu Limited (BIRLANU) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BIRLANU a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Birlanu Limited (BIRLANU) trades at ₹1,642,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.

On the numbers, Birlanu Limited (BIRLANU) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 1472.0× earnings, ROE of -14.9%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BIRLANU fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,238 Cr
Current price
₹1,642
P/E ratio
1472.0×
P/B ratio
1.12×
Book value
₹1,472
Dividend yield
0.91%
ROCE
-4.3%
ROE
-14.9%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How BIRLANU ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BIRLANU overvalued? BIRLANU P/E vs peers

BIRLANU trades at 1472.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BIRLANU share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BIRLANU history (10%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BIRLANU 2027₹1,085₹1,715₹2,709+4%
BIRLANU 2028₹940₹1,791₹3,412+9%
BIRLANU 2029₹843₹1,870₹4,150+14%
BIRLANU 2030₹796₹1,954₹4,794+19%
BIRLANU 2031₹747₹2,040₹5,576+24%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BIRLANU goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
61%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,283 within 5 years

The bull case for BIRLANU

  • Low price-to-book of 1.12×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,150.

The bear case & risks

  • BIRLANU's P/E of 1472.0x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BIRLANU's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹843.

BIRLANU volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BIRLANU compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,085-₹2,709, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BIRLANU price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹1,085-₹2,709
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.9%
80% range₹843-₹4,150
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.3%
80% range₹747-₹5,576
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)28%

BIRLANU price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BIRLANU simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BIRLANU hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BIRLANU price target & forecast page.

BIRLANU Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BIRLANU scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

BIRLANU MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BIRLANU with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww33.95%2.9×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi34.19%2.9×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST33.35%3.0×

Compare every broker on the BIRLANU MTF page.

About Birlanu Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Birlanu Limited (BIRLANU) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,238 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BIRLANU Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Birlanu Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BIRLANU analysis, FAQs

Is Birlanu Limited (BIRLANU) a good buy?

On the numbers, Birlanu Limited (BIRLANU) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 1472.0× earnings, ROE of -14.9%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BIRLANU overvalued or undervalued?

BIRLANU trades at 1472.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BIRLANU share price target for 2031?

BIRLANU's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,040, with an 80% range of ₹747-₹5,576 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BIRLANU doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BIRLANU reaching ₹3,283 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for BIRLANU?

Low price-to-book of 1.12×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in BIRLANU?

BIRLANU's P/E of 1472.0x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BIRLANU's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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