Case study

BLACKBUCK

Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd

Tread carefully1y model -0.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

36Score

Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd (BLACKBUCK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BLACKBUCK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd (BLACKBUCK) trades at ₹578,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.

On the numbers, Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd (BLACKBUCK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 61.3× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BLACKBUCK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹10,522 Cr
Current price
₹578
P/E ratio
61.3×
P/B ratio
7.39×
Book value
₹78
ROCE
12.8%
ROE
12.3%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How BLACKBUCK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BLACKBUCK overvalued? BLACKBUCK P/E vs peers

BLACKBUCK trades at 61.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BLACKBUCK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.7y of BLACKBUCK history (47%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BLACKBUCK 2027₹303₹575₹1,092-0%
BLACKBUCK 2028₹236₹572₹1,385-1%
BLACKBUCK 2029₹194₹569₹1,670-1%
BLACKBUCK 2030₹163₹567₹1,964-2%
BLACKBUCK 2031₹139₹564₹2,294-2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BLACKBUCK goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,155 within 5 years

The bull case for BLACKBUCK

  • BLACKBUCK's return on equity of 12.3% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,670.

The bear case & risks

  • BLACKBUCK's P/E of 61.3x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹194.

BLACKBUCK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.7 years BLACKBUCK compounded at 47%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹303-₹1,092, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BLACKBUCK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.5%
80% range₹303-₹1,092
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.4%
80% range₹194-₹1,670
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹139-₹2,294
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)25%

BLACKBUCK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BLACKBUCK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BLACKBUCK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BLACKBUCK price target & forecast page.

BLACKBUCK Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BLACKBUCK scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

BLACKBUCK MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BLACKBUCK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.98%2.9×
Groww34.08%2.9×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo34.01%2.9×
Paytm Money35.98%2.8×
Pocketful34.27%2.9×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.98%2.9×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India34.05%2.9×

Compare every broker on the BLACKBUCK MTF page.

About Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd (BLACKBUCK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,522 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BLACKBUCK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BLACKBUCK analysis, FAQs

Is Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd (BLACKBUCK) a good buy?

On the numbers, Zinka Logistics Solutions Ltd (BLACKBUCK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 61.3× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BLACKBUCK overvalued or undervalued?

BLACKBUCK trades at 61.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BLACKBUCK share price target for 2031?

BLACKBUCK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹564, with an 80% range of ₹139-₹2,294 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BLACKBUCK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BLACKBUCK reaching ₹1,155 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for BLACKBUCK?

BLACKBUCK's return on equity of 12.3% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in BLACKBUCK?

BLACKBUCK's P/E of 61.3x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on BLACKBUCK