Case study

BLIL

BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L

Worth a closer look1y model +5.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L (BLIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BLIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L (BLIL) trades at ₹71,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L (BLIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.8× earnings, ROE of 12.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BLIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,570 Cr
Current price
₹71
P/E ratio
8.8×
P/B ratio
1.09×
Book value
₹65
Dividend yield
2.87%
ROCE
16.9%
ROE
12.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How BLIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BLIL overvalued? BLIL P/E vs peers

BLIL trades at 8.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BLIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BLIL history (8%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BLIL 2027₹53₹75₹104+5%
BLIL 2028₹49₹78₹125+10%
BLIL 2029₹47₹82₹145+16%
BLIL 2030₹45₹86₹166+22%
BLIL 2031₹44₹91₹189+28%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BLIL goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
67%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
21%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹142 within 5 years

The bull case for BLIL

  • BLIL's P/E of 8.8x is lower than 89% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.09×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • BLIL's return on equity of 12.7% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BLIL's dividend yield of 2.9% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹145.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹47.

BLIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BLIL compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹53-₹104, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BLIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.0%
80% range₹53-₹104
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.9%
80% range₹47-₹145
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
27.9%
80% range₹44-₹189
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)21%

BLIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BLIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BLIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BLIL price target & forecast page.

BLIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BLIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

BLIL MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BLIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST26.80%3.7×

Compare every broker on the BLIL MTF page.

About BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L: sector, index & market-cap context

BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L (BLIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,570 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BLIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BLIL analysis, FAQs

Is BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L (BLIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, BALMER LAWRIE INVSTS. L (BLIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.8× earnings, ROE of 12.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BLIL overvalued or undervalued?

BLIL trades at 8.8× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BLIL share price target for 2031?

BLIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹91, with an 80% range of ₹44-₹189 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BLIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BLIL reaching ₹142 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.

What is the bull case for BLIL?

BLIL's P/E of 8.8x is lower than 89% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.09×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. BLIL's return on equity of 12.7% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in BLIL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on BLIL