Case study

BLS

BLS Intl Ser VS

Worth a closer look1y model -21.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

BLS Intl Ser VS (BLS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BLS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

BLS Intl Ser VS (BLS) trades at ₹267,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, BLS Intl Ser VS (BLS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.0× earnings, ROE of 32.7%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BLS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹10,998 Cr
Current price
₹267
P/E ratio
16.0×
P/B ratio
4.46×
Book value
₹60
Dividend yield
0.75%
ROCE
29.3%
ROE
32.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is BLS overvalued? BLS P/E vs its sector

BLS's P/E of 16.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.75% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

BLS P/E
16.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
BLS div yield
0.75%
Peer median yield
1.65%

BLS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BLS history (-14%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BLS 2027₹116₹209₹375-22%
BLS 2028₹71₹164₹375-39%
BLS 2029₹46₹127₹349-52%
BLS 2030₹31₹100₹325-63%
BLS 2031₹21₹78₹288-71%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BLS goes up, or doubles?

29%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
11%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
3%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹535 within 5 years

The bull case for BLS

  • A 16.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (32.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (29.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹349.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 29% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹46.

BLS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years BLS compounded at -14%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹116₹375, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BLS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
21.9%
80% range₹116–₹375
P(price ↑)29%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
52.4%
80% range₹46–₹349
P(price ↑)17%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
70.9%
80% range₹21–₹288
P(price ↑)11%
P(price 2×)3%

BLS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BLS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BLS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BLS price target & forecast page.

BLS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BLS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

BLS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BLS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.9%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.9%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST36.9%2.7×

Compare every broker on the BLS MTF page.

Which ace investors hold BLS?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

BLS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
BLS (this stock)16.0×0.75%₹10,998 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About BLS Intl Ser VS: sector, index & market-cap context

BLS Intl Ser VS (BLS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,998 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the BLS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BLS Intl Ser VS's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BLS analysis, FAQs

Is BLS Intl Ser VS (BLS) a good buy?

On the numbers, BLS Intl Ser VS (BLS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.0× earnings, ROE of 32.7%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BLS overvalued or undervalued?

BLS trades at 16.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the BLS share price target for 2031?

BLS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹78, with an 80% range of ₹21₹288 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BLS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BLS reaching ₹535 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.

What is the bull case for BLS?

A 16.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (32.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (29.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in BLS?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 29% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on BLS