BLUEDART
Blue Dart Express Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BLUEDART a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) trades at ₹5,090,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 37.3× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BLUEDART fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How BLUEDART ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener
- BLUEDART's market cap of 12,077 Cr ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BLUEDART's book value of ₹749 ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BLUEDART's promoter holding of 75.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BLUEDART's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -8.0% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BLUEDART's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- BLUEDART's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64x is lower than 28% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
Is BLUEDART overvalued? BLUEDART P/E vs peers
BLUEDART trades at 37.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
BLUEDART share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BLUEDART history (-1%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLUEDART 2027 | ₹3,598 | ₹5,399 | ₹8,101 | +6% |
| BLUEDART 2028 | ₹3,242 | ₹5,727 | ₹10,115 | +13% |
| BLUEDART 2029 | ₹3,005 | ₹6,075 | ₹12,282 | +19% |
| BLUEDART 2030 | ₹2,852 | ₹6,444 | ₹14,559 | +27% |
| BLUEDART 2031 | ₹2,765 | ₹6,835 | ₹16,895 | +34% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BLUEDART goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BLUEDART
- BLUEDART's return on equity of 16.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,282.
The bear case & risks
- BLUEDART's P/E of 37.3x is lower than 37% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,005.
BLUEDART volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years BLUEDART compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,598-₹8,101, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BLUEDART price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BLUEDART price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BLUEDART hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BLUEDART price target & forecast page.
BLUEDART Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BLUEDART scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
BLUEDART MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BLUEDART with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.41% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 29.38% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.41% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 29.38% | 3.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 29.41% | 3.4× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 29.20% | 3.4× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.38% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Share India | 29.37% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the BLUEDART MTF page.
Which ace investors hold BLUEDART?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
About Blue Dart Express Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,077 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the BLUEDART Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Blue Dart Express Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BLUEDART analysis, FAQs
Is Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) a good buy?
On the numbers, Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 37.3× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BLUEDART overvalued or undervalued?
BLUEDART trades at 37.3× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the BLUEDART share price target for 2031?
BLUEDART's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹6,835, with an 80% range of ₹2,765-₹16,895 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BLUEDART doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BLUEDART reaching ₹10,179 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for BLUEDART?
BLUEDART's return on equity of 16.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in BLUEDART?
BLUEDART's P/E of 37.3x is lower than 37% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.