Case study

BLUEJET

BLUEJET

Mixed signals1y model -1.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

BLUEJET (BLUEJET) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BLUEJET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

BLUEJET (BLUEJET) trades at ₹522,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, BLUEJET (BLUEJET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 64.2× earnings, ROE of 52.1%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BLUEJET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹9,045 Cr
Current price
₹522
P/E ratio
64.2×
P/B ratio
2269.57×
Book value
₹0
Dividend yield
0.23%
ROCE
57.3%
ROE
52.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is BLUEJET overvalued? BLUEJET P/E vs its sector

BLUEJET's P/E of 64.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.23% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

BLUEJET P/E
64.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
BLUEJET div yield
0.23%
Peer median yield
1.65%

BLUEJET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BLUEJET history (11%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BLUEJET 2027₹266₹504₹964-2%
BLUEJET 2028₹202₹498₹1,234-3%
BLUEJET 2029₹162₹487₹1,486-5%
BLUEJET 2030₹134₹476₹1,735-7%
BLUEJET 2031₹115₹463₹1,985-10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BLUEJET goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,025 within 5 years

The bull case for BLUEJET

  • High return on equity (52.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (57.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,486.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 64.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 2269.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹162.

BLUEJET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years BLUEJET compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹266₹964, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BLUEJET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.6%
80% range₹266–₹964
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.0%
80% range₹162–₹1,486
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.6%
80% range₹115–₹1,985
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)24%

BLUEJET price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BLUEJET simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BLUEJET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BLUEJET price target & forecast page.

BLUEJET Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BLUEJET scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

BLUEJET MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BLUEJET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.0%2.0×
DhanCHEAPEST38.5%2.6×

Compare every broker on the BLUEJET MTF page.

BLUEJET vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
BLUEJET (this stock)64.2×0.23%₹9,045 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About BLUEJET: sector, index & market-cap context

BLUEJET (BLUEJET) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,045 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the BLUEJET Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BLUEJET's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BLUEJET analysis, FAQs

Is BLUEJET (BLUEJET) a good buy?

On the numbers, BLUEJET (BLUEJET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 64.2× earnings, ROE of 52.1%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BLUEJET overvalued or undervalued?

BLUEJET trades at 64.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the BLUEJET share price target for 2031?

BLUEJET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹463, with an 80% range of ₹115₹1,985 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BLUEJET doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BLUEJET reaching ₹1,025 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for BLUEJET?

High return on equity (52.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (57.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in BLUEJET?

A rich 64.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 2269.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on BLUEJET