Case study

BOSCH-HCIL

Bosch Home Comfort India Limited

Tread carefully1y model +3.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

37Score

Bosch Home Comfort India Limited (BOSCH-HCIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BOSCH-HCIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Bosch Home Comfort India Limited (BOSCH-HCIL) trades at ₹1,682,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100.

On the numbers, Bosch Home Comfort India Limited (BOSCH-HCIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 227.0× earnings, ROE of 2.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BOSCH-HCIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,574 Cr
Current price
₹1,682
P/E ratio
227.0×
P/B ratio
9.14×
Book value
₹184
Dividend yield
2.14%
ROCE
4.6%
ROE
2.3%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How BOSCH-HCIL ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is BOSCH-HCIL overvalued? BOSCH-HCIL P/E vs peers

BOSCH-HCIL trades at 227.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BOSCH-HCIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BOSCH-HCIL history (2%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BOSCH-HCIL 2027₹1,104₹1,740₹2,741+3%
BOSCH-HCIL 2028₹938₹1,800₹3,451+7%
BOSCH-HCIL 2029₹842₹1,861₹4,112+11%
BOSCH-HCIL 2030₹765₹1,925₹4,842+14%
BOSCH-HCIL 2031₹701₹1,991₹5,656+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BOSCH-HCIL goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,365 within 5 years

The bull case for BOSCH-HCIL

  • BOSCH-HCIL's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,112.

The bear case & risks

  • BOSCH-HCIL's P/E of 227.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 9.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • BOSCH-HCIL's return on equity of 2.3% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹842.

BOSCH-HCIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BOSCH-HCIL compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,104-₹2,741, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BOSCH-HCIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹1,104-₹2,741
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.6%
80% range₹842-₹4,112
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.3%
80% range₹701-₹5,656
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)26%

BOSCH-HCIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BOSCH-HCIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BOSCH-HCIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BOSCH-HCIL price target & forecast page.

BOSCH-HCIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BOSCH-HCIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

BOSCH-HCIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BOSCH-HCIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww32.85%3.0×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money35.16%2.8×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi32.85%3.0×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST32.21%3.1×

Compare every broker on the BOSCH-HCIL MTF page.

About Bosch Home Comfort India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Bosch Home Comfort India Limited (BOSCH-HCIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,574 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BOSCH-HCIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Bosch Home Comfort India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BOSCH-HCIL analysis, FAQs

Is Bosch Home Comfort India Limited (BOSCH-HCIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Bosch Home Comfort India Limited (BOSCH-HCIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 227.0× earnings, ROE of 2.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BOSCH-HCIL overvalued or undervalued?

BOSCH-HCIL trades at 227.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BOSCH-HCIL share price target for 2031?

BOSCH-HCIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,991, with an 80% range of ₹701-₹5,656 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BOSCH-HCIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BOSCH-HCIL reaching ₹3,365 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for BOSCH-HCIL?

BOSCH-HCIL's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in BOSCH-HCIL?

BOSCH-HCIL's P/E of 227.0x is lower than 5% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. A steep 9.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. BOSCH-HCIL's return on equity of 2.3% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

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