Case study

BRIGHOTEL

BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD

High-risk on the numbers1y model -30.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD (BRIGHOTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BRIGHOTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD (BRIGHOTEL) trades at ₹66,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.

On the numbers, BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD (BRIGHOTEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 43.1× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 8% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BRIGHOTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,518 Cr
Current price
₹66
P/E ratio
43.1×
P/B ratio
2.63×
Book value
₹25
ROCE
12.8%
ROE
11.2%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is BRIGHOTEL overvalued? BRIGHOTEL P/E vs its sector

BRIGHOTEL's P/E of 43.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

BRIGHOTEL P/E
43.1×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

BRIGHOTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.9y of BRIGHOTEL history (-33%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BRIGHOTEL 2027₹32₹45₹62-30%
BRIGHOTEL 2028₹20₹31₹49-52%
BRIGHOTEL 2029₹12₹22₹38-66%
BRIGHOTEL 2030₹8₹15₹29-77%
BRIGHOTEL 2031₹5₹10₹22-84%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BRIGHOTEL goes up, or doubles?

8%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
0%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹128 within 5 years

The bull case for BRIGHOTEL

  • BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹38.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 43.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 11.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 8% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.

BRIGHOTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 0.9 years BRIGHOTEL compounded at -33%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹32₹62, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BRIGHOTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 0.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
30.5%
80% range₹32–₹62
P(price ↑)8%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
66.4%
80% range₹12–₹38
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
83.9%
80% range₹5–₹22
P(price ↑)0%
P(price 2×)0%

BRIGHOTEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BRIGHOTEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BRIGHOTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BRIGHOTEL price target & forecast page.

BRIGHOTEL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BRIGHOTEL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

BRIGHOTEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BRIGHOTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
Zerodha50.0%2.0×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the BRIGHOTEL MTF page.

BRIGHOTEL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
BRIGHOTEL (this stock)43.1×₹2,518 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD (BRIGHOTEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,518 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the BRIGHOTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BRIGHOTEL analysis, FAQs

Is BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD (BRIGHOTEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD (BRIGHOTEL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 43.1× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 8% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BRIGHOTEL overvalued or undervalued?

BRIGHOTEL trades at 43.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the BRIGHOTEL share price target for 2031?

BRIGHOTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹10, with an 80% range of ₹5₹22 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BRIGHOTEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BRIGHOTEL reaching ₹128 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for BRIGHOTEL?

BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURE LTD is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in BRIGHOTEL?

A rich 43.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 11.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on BRIGHOTEL