BSE
BSE
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
BSE (BSE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BSE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
BSE (BSE) trades at ₹4,033,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, BSE (BSE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 66.1× earnings, ROE of 44.8%, a 90% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BSE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is BSE overvalued? BSE P/E vs its sector
BSE's P/E of 66.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.25% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
BSE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BSE history (80%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSE 2027 | ₹4,057 | ₹7,838 | ₹14,990 | +95% |
| BSE 2028 | ₹5,944 | ₹15,146 | ₹38,662 | +277% |
| BSE 2029 | ₹9,569 | ₹29,250 | ₹91,895 | +628% |
| BSE 2030 | ₹15,395 | ₹56,383 | ₹2,14,044 | +1302% |
| BSE 2031 | ₹25,409 | ₹1,11,109 | ₹4,92,419 | +2664% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BSE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BSE
- High return on equity (44.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (58.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 90% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹7,838 (+95%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹91,895.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 66.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 24.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9,569.
BSE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years BSE compounded at 80%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4,057–₹14,990, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BSE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BSE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BSE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BSE price target & forecast page.
BSE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BSE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
BSE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BSE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 36.7% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 31.3% | 3.2× |
| Groww | 31.4% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.0% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the BSE MTF page.
Which ace investors hold BSE?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
BSE vs peers,sector comparison
About BSE: sector, index & market-cap context
BSE (BSE) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.64L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the BSE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BSE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BSE analysis, FAQs
Is BSE (BSE) a good buy?
On the numbers, BSE (BSE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 66.1× earnings, ROE of 44.8%, a 90% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BSE overvalued or undervalued?
BSE trades at 66.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the BSE share price target for 2031?
BSE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,11,109, with an 80% range of ₹25,409–₹4,92,419 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BSE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BSE reaching ₹8,040 (2×) within 5 years is 99%.
What is the bull case for BSE?
High return on equity (44.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (58.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 90% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹7,838 (+95%).
What are the risks in BSE?
A rich 66.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 24.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.