BSOFT
Birlasoft
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Birlasoft (BSOFT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BSOFT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Birlasoft (BSOFT) trades at ₹317,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.
On the numbers, Birlasoft (BSOFT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.3× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BSOFT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is BSOFT overvalued? BSOFT P/E vs its sector
BSOFT's P/E of 16.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 2.05% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
BSOFT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BSOFT history (-38%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSOFT 2027 | ₹133 | ₹210 | ₹334 | -36% |
| BSOFT 2028 | ₹72 | ₹136 | ₹260 | -58% |
| BSOFT 2029 | ₹40 | ₹88 | ₹193 | -73% |
| BSOFT 2030 | ₹22 | ₹57 | ₹140 | -83% |
| BSOFT 2031 | ₹13 | ₹36 | ₹100 | -89% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BSOFT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BSOFT
- A 16.3× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 14.4% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (21.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 2.0% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹193.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹40.
BSOFT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years BSOFT compounded at -38%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹133–₹334, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BSOFT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BSOFT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BSOFT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BSOFT price target & forecast page.
BSOFT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BSOFT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
BSOFT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BSOFT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.6% | 3.1× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.6% | 3.1× |
| Groww | 32.8% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.6% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the BSOFT MTF page.
BSOFT vs peers,sector comparison
About Birlasoft: sector, index & market-cap context
Birlasoft (BSOFT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,864 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the BSOFT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Birlasoft's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BSOFT analysis, FAQs
Is Birlasoft (BSOFT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Birlasoft (BSOFT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.3× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BSOFT overvalued or undervalued?
BSOFT trades at 16.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the BSOFT share price target for 2031?
BSOFT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹36, with an 80% range of ₹13–₹100 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BSOFT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BSOFT reaching ₹653 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for BSOFT?
A 16.3× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 14.4% return on equity. Strong ROCE (21.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in BSOFT?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price.