Case study

BURNPUR

Burnpur Cement Ltd

Screens weak1y model +4.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Burnpur Cement Ltd (BURNPUR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about BURNPUR, and the method behind each one.

Burnpur Cement Ltd (BURNPUR) trades at ₹19,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Burnpur Cement Ltd (BURNPUR) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 28.4× earnings, ROE of 1.1%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BURNPUR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹33 Cr
Current price
₹19
P/E ratio
28.4×
P/B ratio
1.42×
Book value
₹14
ROCE
2.4%
ROE
1.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How BURNPUR ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for BURNPUR, as of 13 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is BURNPUR overvalued? BURNPUR P/E vs peers

BURNPUR trades at 28.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

BURNPUR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BURNPUR history (-15%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BURNPUR 2027₹12₹19₹31+4%
BURNPUR 2028₹10₹20₹39+8%
BURNPUR 2029₹9₹21₹48+13%
BURNPUR 2030₹8₹22₹57+18%
BURNPUR 2031₹7₹22₹67+22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BURNPUR goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹37 within 5 years

The bull case for BURNPUR

  • Low price-to-book of 1.42×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹48.

The bear case & risks

  • BURNPUR's P/E of 28.4x is lower than 43% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
  • BURNPUR's return on equity of 1.1% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9.

BURNPUR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BURNPUR compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹12-₹31, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BURNPUR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹12-₹31
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.9%
80% range₹9-₹48
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
22.4%
80% range₹7-₹67
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)29%

BURNPUR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BURNPUR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BURNPUR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BURNPUR price target & forecast page.

BURNPUR Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BURNPUR scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

About Burnpur Cement Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Burnpur Cement Ltd (BURNPUR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹33 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BURNPUR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Burnpur Cement Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BURNPUR analysis, FAQs

Is Burnpur Cement Ltd (BURNPUR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Burnpur Cement Ltd (BURNPUR) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 28.4× earnings, ROE of 1.1%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BURNPUR overvalued or undervalued?

BURNPUR trades at 28.4× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the BURNPUR share price target for 2031?

BURNPUR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹22, with an 80% range of ₹7-₹67 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BURNPUR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BURNPUR reaching ₹37 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for BURNPUR?

Low price-to-book of 1.42×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in BURNPUR?

BURNPUR's P/E of 28.4x is lower than 43% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. BURNPUR's return on equity of 1.1% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.

More on BURNPUR

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.