Case study

CAMS

COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD

Mixed signals1y model -0.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD (CAMS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CAMS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD (CAMS) trades at ₹819,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD (CAMS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 45.9× earnings, ROE of 36.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CAMS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹20,326 Cr
Current price
₹819
P/E ratio
45.9×
P/B ratio
15.37×
Book value
₹53
Dividend yield
1.53%
ROCE
47.0%
ROE
36.3%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is CAMS overvalued? CAMS P/E vs its sector

CAMS's P/E of 45.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.53% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

CAMS P/E
45.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
CAMS div yield
1.53%
Peer median yield
1.65%

CAMS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CAMS history (6%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CAMS 2027₹506₹818₹1,317-1%
CAMS 2028₹410₹808₹1,600-2%
CAMS 2029₹353₹803₹1,825-2%
CAMS 2030₹309₹798₹2,067-3%
CAMS 2031₹275₹795₹2,332-3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CAMS goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
48%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
20%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,646 within 5 years

The bull case for CAMS

  • High return on equity (36.3%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (47.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,825.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 45.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 15.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹353.

CAMS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CAMS compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹506₹1,317, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CAMS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.6%
80% range₹506–₹1,317
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹353–₹1,825
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)13%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹275–₹2,332
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)20%

CAMS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CAMS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CAMS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CAMS price target & forecast page.

CAMS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CAMS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

CAMS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CAMS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.2%3.2×
Zerodha26.6%3.8×
DhanCHEAPEST24.2%4.1×

Compare every broker on the CAMS MTF page.

CAMS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CAMS (this stock)45.9×1.53%₹20,326 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD (CAMS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹20,326 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the CAMS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CAMS analysis, FAQs

Is COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD (CAMS) a good buy?

On the numbers, COMPUTER AGE MNGT SER LTD (CAMS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 45.9× earnings, ROE of 36.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CAMS overvalued or undervalued?

CAMS trades at 45.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CAMS share price target for 2031?

CAMS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹795, with an 80% range of ₹275₹2,332 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CAMS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CAMS reaching ₹1,646 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.

What is the bull case for CAMS?

High return on equity (36.3%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (47.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in CAMS?

A rich 45.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 15.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on CAMS