Case study

CANFINHOME

Can Fin Homes Limited

Screens attractive1y model +7.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

72Score

Can Fin Homes Limited (CANFINHOME) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CANFINHOME a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Can Fin Homes Limited (CANFINHOME) trades at ₹811,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.

On the numbers, Can Fin Homes Limited (CANFINHOME) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.6× earnings, ROE of 19.7%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CANFINHOME fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹10,803 Cr
Current price
₹811
P/E ratio
9.6×
P/B ratio
1.81×
Book value
₹449
Dividend yield
1.85%
ROCE
9.1%
ROE
19.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How CANFINHOME ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for CANFINHOME, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is CANFINHOME overvalued? CANFINHOME P/E vs peers

CANFINHOME trades at 9.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CANFINHOME share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CANFINHOME history (11%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CANFINHOME 2027₹605₹869₹1,249+7%
CANFINHOME 2028₹562₹931₹1,542+15%
CANFINHOME 2029₹536₹997₹1,856+23%
CANFINHOME 2030₹513₹1,068₹2,224+32%
CANFINHOME 2031₹502₹1,144₹2,609+41%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CANFINHOME goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
70%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,623 within 5 years

The bull case for CANFINHOME

  • CANFINHOME's P/E of 9.6x is lower than 87% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CANFINHOME's return on equity of 19.7% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,856.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹536.

CANFINHOME volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CANFINHOME compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹605-₹1,249, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CANFINHOME price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.1%
80% range₹605-₹1,249
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
22.9%
80% range₹536-₹1,856
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
41.0%
80% range₹502-₹2,609
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)29%

CANFINHOME price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CANFINHOME simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CANFINHOME hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CANFINHOME price target & forecast page.

CANFINHOME Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CANFINHOME scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

CANFINHOME MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CANFINHOME with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox28.82%3.5×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST28.79%3.5×
Groww28.93%3.5×
Dhan28.79%3.5×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money29.07%3.4×
Pocketful29.03%3.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST28.79%3.5×
Bajaj Broking30.00%3.3×
Share India28.90%3.5×

Compare every broker on the CANFINHOME MTF page.

About Can Fin Homes Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Can Fin Homes Limited (CANFINHOME) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,803 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CANFINHOME Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Can Fin Homes Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CANFINHOME analysis, FAQs

Is Can Fin Homes Limited (CANFINHOME) a good buy?

On the numbers, Can Fin Homes Limited (CANFINHOME) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.6× earnings, ROE of 19.7%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CANFINHOME overvalued or undervalued?

CANFINHOME trades at 9.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CANFINHOME share price target for 2031?

CANFINHOME's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,144, with an 80% range of ₹502-₹2,609 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CANFINHOME doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CANFINHOME reaching ₹1,623 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for CANFINHOME?

CANFINHOME's P/E of 9.6x is lower than 87% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CANFINHOME's return on equity of 19.7% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CANFINHOME?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on CANFINHOME