Case study

CANTABIL

Cantabil Retail India Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +7.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

68Score

Cantabil Retail India Limited (CANTABIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CANTABIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Cantabil Retail India Limited (CANTABIL) trades at ₹228,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100.

On the numbers, Cantabil Retail India Limited (CANTABIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.6× earnings, ROE of 22.0%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CANTABIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,904 Cr
Current price
₹228
P/E ratio
19.6×
P/B ratio
3.99×
Book value
₹57
Dividend yield
0.66%
ROCE
19.1%
ROE
22.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How CANTABIL ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is CANTABIL overvalued? CANTABIL P/E vs peers

CANTABIL trades at 19.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CANTABIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CANTABIL history (28%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CANTABIL 2027₹149₹247₹408+7%
CANTABIL 2028₹129₹264₹541+15%
CANTABIL 2029₹118₹283₹677+23%
CANTABIL 2030₹113₹303₹814+32%
CANTABIL 2031₹107₹325₹985+41%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CANTABIL goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
65%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
34%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹461 within 5 years

The bull case for CANTABIL

  • CANTABIL's P/E of 20.1x is lower than 62% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • CANTABIL's return on equity of 22.0% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • CANTABIL's return on capital employed of 19.1% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹677.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹118.

CANTABIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CANTABIL compounded at 28%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹149-₹408, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CANTABIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.1%
80% range₹149-₹408
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
22.9%
80% range₹118-₹677
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
41.0%
80% range₹107-₹985
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)34%

CANTABIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CANTABIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CANTABIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CANTABIL price target & forecast page.

CANTABIL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CANTABIL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

CANTABIL MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CANTABIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Groww33.20%3.0×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money43.16%2.3×
Pocketful33.32%3.0×
Anand Rathi33.16%3.0×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST32.91%3.0×

Compare every broker on the CANTABIL MTF page.

About Cantabil Retail India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Cantabil Retail India Limited (CANTABIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,904 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CANTABIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Cantabil Retail India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CANTABIL analysis, FAQs

Is Cantabil Retail India Limited (CANTABIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Cantabil Retail India Limited (CANTABIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.6× earnings, ROE of 22.0%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CANTABIL overvalued or undervalued?

CANTABIL trades at 19.6× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CANTABIL share price target for 2031?

CANTABIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹325, with an 80% range of ₹107-₹985 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CANTABIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CANTABIL reaching ₹461 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.

What is the bull case for CANTABIL?

CANTABIL's P/E of 20.1x is lower than 62% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. CANTABIL's return on equity of 22.0% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. CANTABIL's return on capital employed of 19.1% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CANTABIL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on CANTABIL