Case study

CAPILLARY

CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L

High-risk on the numbers1y model -37.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L (CAPILLARY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CAPILLARY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L (CAPILLARY) trades at ₹496,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100.

On the numbers, CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L (CAPILLARY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 133.0× earnings, ROE of 3.7%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CAPILLARY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,938 Cr
Current price
₹496
P/E ratio
133.0×
P/B ratio
3.84×
Book value
₹129
ROCE
3.6%
ROE
3.7%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is CAPILLARY overvalued? CAPILLARY P/E vs its sector

CAPILLARY's P/E of 133.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

CAPILLARY P/E
133.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

CAPILLARY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.6y of CAPILLARY history (-36%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CAPILLARY 2027₹172₹311₹563-37%
CAPILLARY 2028₹85₹197₹452-60%
CAPILLARY 2029₹44₹125₹343-75%
CAPILLARY 2030₹23₹78₹255-84%
CAPILLARY 2031₹13₹49₹185-90%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CAPILLARY goes up, or doubles?

16%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
1%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹991 within 5 years

The bull case for CAPILLARY

  • CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹343.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 133.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 3.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 16% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹44.

CAPILLARY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 0.6 years CAPILLARY compounded at -36%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹172₹563, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CAPILLARY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 0.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
37.2%
80% range₹172–₹563
P(price ↑)16%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
74.7%
80% range₹44–₹343
P(price ↑)4%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
90.0%
80% range₹13–₹185
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%

CAPILLARY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CAPILLARY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CAPILLARY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CAPILLARY price target & forecast page.

CAPILLARY Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CAPILLARY scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

CAPILLARY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CAPILLARY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.0%3.3×
Dhan30.0%3.3×

Compare every broker on the CAPILLARY MTF page.

CAPILLARY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CAPILLARY (this stock)133.0×₹3,938 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L: sector, index & market-cap context

CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L (CAPILLARY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,938 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the CAPILLARY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CAPILLARY analysis, FAQs

Is CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L (CAPILLARY) a good buy?

On the numbers, CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L (CAPILLARY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 133.0× earnings, ROE of 3.7%, a 16% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CAPILLARY overvalued or undervalued?

CAPILLARY trades at 133.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CAPILLARY share price target for 2031?

CAPILLARY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹49, with an 80% range of ₹13₹185 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CAPILLARY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CAPILLARY reaching ₹991 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for CAPILLARY?

CAPILLARY TECHNO INDIA L is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in CAPILLARY?

A rich 133.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 3.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on CAPILLARY