CARRARO
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CARRARO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) trades at ₹581,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.0× earnings, ROE of 26.9%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CARRARO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CARRARO overvalued? CARRARO P/E vs its sector
CARRARO's P/E of 24.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.78% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
CARRARO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.4y of CARRARO history (-9%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARRARO 2027 | ₹219 | ₹440 | ₹900 | -21% |
| CARRARO 2028 | ₹127 | ₹347 | ₹954 | -38% |
| CARRARO 2029 | ₹81 | ₹273 | ₹934 | -51% |
| CARRARO 2030 | ₹50 | ₹212 | ₹881 | -62% |
| CARRARO 2031 | ₹34 | ₹169 | ₹839 | -70% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CARRARO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CARRARO
- A 24.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (26.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (29.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹934.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹81.
CARRARO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.4 years CARRARO compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹219–₹900, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CARRARO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CARRARO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CARRARO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CARRARO price target & forecast page.
CARRARO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CARRARO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CARRARO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CARRARO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.7% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.7% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.7% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the CARRARO MTF page.
CARRARO vs peers,sector comparison
About CARRARO INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,304 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the CARRARO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CARRARO INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CARRARO analysis, FAQs
Is CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) a good buy?
On the numbers, CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.0× earnings, ROE of 26.9%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CARRARO overvalued or undervalued?
CARRARO trades at 24.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CARRARO share price target for 2031?
CARRARO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹169, with an 80% range of ₹34–₹839 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CARRARO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CARRARO reaching ₹1,121 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.
What is the bull case for CARRARO?
A 24.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (26.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (29.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in CARRARO?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.