CARRARO
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CARRARO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) trades at ₹502,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.
On the numbers, CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.4× earnings, ROE of 26.9%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CARRARO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How CARRARO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- CARRARO's market cap of 2,854 Cr ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CARRARO's book value of ₹99 ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CARRARO's promoter holding of 68.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CARRARO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 43.0% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CARRARO's 3-year revenue growth of 10.0% ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CARRARO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is CARRARO overvalued? CARRARO P/E vs peers
CARRARO trades at 20.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
CARRARO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.6y of CARRARO history (-15%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARRARO 2027 | ₹237 | ₹480 | ₹973 | -4% |
| CARRARO 2028 | ₹172 | ₹459 | ₹1,229 | -9% |
| CARRARO 2029 | ₹134 | ₹439 | ₹1,443 | -13% |
| CARRARO 2030 | ₹106 | ₹420 | ₹1,666 | -16% |
| CARRARO 2031 | ₹84 | ₹402 | ₹1,917 | -20% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CARRARO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CARRARO
- CARRARO's P/E of 20.4x is lower than 62% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CARRARO's return on equity of 26.9% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CARRARO's return on capital employed of 29.5% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,443.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹134.
CARRARO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.6 years CARRARO compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹237-₹973, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CARRARO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CARRARO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CARRARO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CARRARO price target & forecast page.
CARRARO Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CARRARO scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
CARRARO MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CARRARO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.79% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 36.11% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 35.96% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 36.11% | 2.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 36.20% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 36.50% | 2.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 36.11% | 2.8× |
| Share India | 35.92% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the CARRARO MTF page.
About CARRARO INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,854 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the CARRARO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CARRARO INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CARRARO analysis, FAQs
Is CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) a good buy?
On the numbers, CARRARO INDIA LIMITED (CARRARO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.4× earnings, ROE of 26.9%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CARRARO overvalued or undervalued?
CARRARO trades at 20.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the CARRARO share price target for 2031?
CARRARO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹402, with an 80% range of ₹84-₹1,917 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CARRARO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CARRARO reaching ₹1,004 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.
What is the bull case for CARRARO?
CARRARO's P/E of 20.4x is lower than 62% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CARRARO's return on equity of 26.9% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CARRARO's return on capital employed of 29.5% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in CARRARO?
High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.