CARYSIL
CARYSIL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CARYSIL (CARYSIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CARYSIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CARYSIL (CARYSIL) trades at ₹1,191,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.
On the numbers, CARYSIL (CARYSIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 34.1× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CARYSIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CARYSIL overvalued? CARYSIL P/E vs its sector
CARYSIL's P/E of 34.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.20% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
CARYSIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CARYSIL history (19%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARYSIL 2027 | ₹715 | ₹1,300 | ₹2,374 | +8% |
| CARYSIL 2028 | ₹593 | ₹1,387 | ₹3,274 | +16% |
| CARYSIL 2029 | ₹519 | ₹1,496 | ₹4,327 | +25% |
| CARYSIL 2030 | ₹477 | ₹1,603 | ₹5,402 | +34% |
| CARYSIL 2031 | ₹448 | ₹1,715 | ₹6,796 | +43% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CARYSIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CARYSIL
- A healthy 17.4% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,327.
The bear case & risks
- At 34.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹519.
CARYSIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CARYSIL compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹715–₹2,374, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CARYSIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CARYSIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CARYSIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CARYSIL price target & forecast page.
CARYSIL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CARYSIL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CARYSIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CARYSIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the CARYSIL MTF page.
CARYSIL vs peers,sector comparison
About CARYSIL: sector, index & market-cap context
CARYSIL (CARYSIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,379 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the CARYSIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CARYSIL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CARYSIL analysis, FAQs
Is CARYSIL (CARYSIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, CARYSIL (CARYSIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 34.1× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CARYSIL overvalued or undervalued?
CARYSIL trades at 34.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CARYSIL share price target for 2031?
CARYSIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,715, with an 80% range of ₹448–₹6,796 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CARYSIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CARYSIL reaching ₹2,399 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.
What is the bull case for CARYSIL?
A healthy 17.4% return on equity.
What are the risks in CARYSIL?
At 34.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.