Case study

CCAVENUE

Infibeam Avenues

Tread carefully1y model -36.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Infibeam Avenues (CCAVENUE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CCAVENUE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Infibeam Avenues (CCAVENUE) trades at ₹15,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100.

On the numbers, Infibeam Avenues (CCAVENUE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.5× earnings, ROE of 6.6%, a 13% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CCAVENUE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,218 Cr
Current price
₹15
P/E ratio
18.5×
P/B ratio
1.10×
Book value
₹14
ROCE
7.7%
ROE
6.6%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is CCAVENUE overvalued? CCAVENUE P/E vs its sector

CCAVENUE's P/E of 18.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

CCAVENUE P/E
18.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

CCAVENUE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CCAVENUE history (-38%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CCAVENUE 2027₹6₹10₹16-37%
CCAVENUE 2028₹3₹6₹13-60%
CCAVENUE 2029₹2₹4₹9-75%
CCAVENUE 2030₹1₹2₹7-84%
CCAVENUE 2031₹0₹1₹5-90%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CCAVENUE goes up, or doubles?

13%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
1%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹30 within 5 years

The bull case for CCAVENUE

  • A 18.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.10×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹9.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 6.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 13% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2.

CCAVENUE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CCAVENUE compounded at -38%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹6₹16, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CCAVENUE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
36.5%
80% range₹6–₹16
P(price ↑)13%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
75.1%
80% range₹2–₹9
P(price ↑)2%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
90.1%
80% range₹0–₹5
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%

CCAVENUE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CCAVENUE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CCAVENUE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CCAVENUE price target & forecast page.

CCAVENUE Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CCAVENUE scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

CCAVENUE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CCAVENUE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.5%3.0×

Compare every broker on the CCAVENUE MTF page.

CCAVENUE vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CCAVENUE (this stock)18.5×₹5,218 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Infibeam Avenues: sector, index & market-cap context

Infibeam Avenues (CCAVENUE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,218 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the CCAVENUE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Infibeam Avenues's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CCAVENUE analysis, FAQs

Is Infibeam Avenues (CCAVENUE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Infibeam Avenues (CCAVENUE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.5× earnings, ROE of 6.6%, a 13% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CCAVENUE overvalued or undervalued?

CCAVENUE trades at 18.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CCAVENUE share price target for 2031?

CCAVENUE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1, with an 80% range of ₹0₹5 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CCAVENUE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CCAVENUE reaching ₹30 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for CCAVENUE?

A 18.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Low price-to-book of 1.10×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in CCAVENUE?

Return on equity is a soft 6.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 13% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on CCAVENUE