Case study

CEATLTD

CEAT LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +5.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

CEAT LIMITED (CEATLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CEATLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CEAT LIMITED (CEATLTD) trades at ₹3,723,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, CEAT LIMITED (CEATLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.7× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CEATLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹15,060 Cr
Current price
₹3,723
P/E ratio
23.7×
P/B ratio
2.99×
Book value
₹1,247
Dividend yield
0.94%
ROCE
19.2%
ROE
16.1%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How CEATLTD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is CEATLTD overvalued? CEATLTD P/E vs peers

CEATLTD trades at 23.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CEATLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CEATLTD history (14%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CEATLTD 2027₹2,415₹3,916₹6,348+5%
CEATLTD 2028₹2,042₹4,118₹8,304+11%
CEATLTD 2029₹1,856₹4,331₹10,103+16%
CEATLTD 2030₹1,721₹4,555₹12,052+22%
CEATLTD 2031₹1,643₹4,790₹13,967+29%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CEATLTD goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
62%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹7,446 within 5 years

The bull case for CEATLTD

  • CEATLTD's P/E of 23.7x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CEATLTD's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CEATLTD's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹10,103.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,856.

CEATLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CEATLTD compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,415-₹6,348, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CEATLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹2,415-₹6,348
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.3%
80% range₹1,856-₹10,103
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.7%
80% range₹1,643-₹13,967
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)30%

CEATLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CEATLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CEATLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CEATLTD price target & forecast page.

CEATLTD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CEATLTD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

CEATLTD MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CEATLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox33.18%3.0×
Zerodha33.15%3.0×
Groww33.23%3.0×
Dhan33.15%3.0×
Kotak Neo33.22%3.0×
Paytm Money33.23%3.0×
PocketfulCHEAPEST33.11%3.0×
Anand Rathi33.15%3.0×
Bajaj Broking34.00%2.9×
Share India33.23%3.0×

Compare every broker on the CEATLTD MTF page.

About CEAT LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

CEAT LIMITED (CEATLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹15,060 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CEATLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CEAT LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CEATLTD analysis, FAQs

Is CEAT LIMITED (CEATLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, CEAT LIMITED (CEATLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.7× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CEATLTD overvalued or undervalued?

CEATLTD trades at 23.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CEATLTD share price target for 2031?

CEATLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,790, with an 80% range of ₹1,643-₹13,967 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CEATLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CEATLTD reaching ₹7,446 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for CEATLTD?

CEATLTD's P/E of 23.7x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CEATLTD's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CEATLTD's return on capital employed of 19.2% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CEATLTD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on CEATLTD