CEATLTD
CEAT
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CEAT (CEATLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CEATLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CEAT (CEATLTD) trades at ₹3,511,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.
On the numbers, CEAT (CEATLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.0× earnings, ROE of 15.9%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CEATLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CEATLTD overvalued? CEATLTD P/E vs its sector
CEATLTD's P/E of 19.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.85% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
CEATLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CEATLTD history (17%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEATLTD 2027 | ₹2,335 | ₹3,820 | ₹6,205 | +11% |
| CEATLTD 2028 | ₹2,084 | ₹4,220 | ₹8,251 | +22% |
| CEATLTD 2029 | ₹1,977 | ₹4,630 | ₹10,600 | +34% |
| CEATLTD 2030 | ₹1,943 | ₹5,072 | ₹13,225 | +47% |
| CEATLTD 2031 | ₹1,913 | ₹5,588 | ₹16,592 | +62% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CEATLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CEATLTD
- A 19.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 15.9% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹3,820 (+11%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹10,600.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,977.
CEATLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CEATLTD compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,335–₹6,205, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CEATLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CEATLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CEATLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CEATLTD price target & forecast page.
CEATLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CEATLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CEATLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CEATLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.2% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.2% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.2% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the CEATLTD MTF page.
CEATLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About CEAT: sector, index & market-cap context
CEAT (CEATLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,241 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the CEATLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CEAT's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CEATLTD analysis, FAQs
Is CEAT (CEATLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, CEAT (CEATLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.0× earnings, ROE of 15.9%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CEATLTD overvalued or undervalued?
CEATLTD trades at 19.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CEATLTD share price target for 2031?
CEATLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,588, with an 80% range of ₹1,913–₹16,592 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CEATLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CEATLTD reaching ₹6,900 (2×) within 5 years is 41%.
What is the bull case for CEATLTD?
A 19.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 15.9% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in CEATLTD?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.