Case study

CELLO

CELLO WORLD LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model -37.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

CELLO WORLD LIMITED (CELLO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CELLO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CELLO WORLD LIMITED (CELLO) trades at ₹389,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, CELLO WORLD LIMITED (CELLO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 25.5× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 6% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CELLO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,585 Cr
Current price
₹389
P/E ratio
25.5×
P/B ratio
3.19×
Book value
₹122
Dividend yield
0.39%
ROCE
17.4%
ROE
13.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is CELLO overvalued? CELLO P/E vs its sector

CELLO's P/E of 25.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.39% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

CELLO P/E
25.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
CELLO div yield
0.39%
Peer median yield
1.65%

CELLO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CELLO history (-42%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CELLO 2027₹167₹245₹359-37%
CELLO 2028₹90₹153₹263-61%
CELLO 2029₹51₹97₹186-75%
CELLO 2030₹29₹61₹130-84%
CELLO 2031₹16₹38₹89-90%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CELLO goes up, or doubles?

6%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
0%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹780 within 5 years

The bull case for CELLO

  • A healthy 13.8% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹186.

The bear case & risks

  • At 25.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 6% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹51.

CELLO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CELLO compounded at -42%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹167₹359, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CELLO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
37.2%
80% range₹167–₹359
P(price ↑)6%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
75.0%
80% range₹51–₹186
P(price ↑)0%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
90.3%
80% range₹16–₹89
P(price ↑)0%
P(price 2×)0%

CELLO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CELLO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CELLO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CELLO price target & forecast page.

CELLO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CELLO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

CELLO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CELLO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.6%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.6%3.4×

Compare every broker on the CELLO MTF page.

CELLO vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CELLO (this stock)25.5×0.39%₹8,585 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About CELLO WORLD LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

CELLO WORLD LIMITED (CELLO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,585 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the CELLO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CELLO WORLD LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CELLO analysis, FAQs

Is CELLO WORLD LIMITED (CELLO) a good buy?

On the numbers, CELLO WORLD LIMITED (CELLO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 25.5× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 6% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CELLO overvalued or undervalued?

CELLO trades at 25.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CELLO share price target for 2031?

CELLO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹38, with an 80% range of ₹16₹89 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CELLO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CELLO reaching ₹780 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for CELLO?

A healthy 13.8% return on equity.

What are the risks in CELLO?

At 25.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 6% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on CELLO