Case study

CENTENKA

CENTENKA

Mixed signals1y model -15.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

CENTENKA (CENTENKA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CENTENKA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CENTENKA (CENTENKA) trades at ₹544,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.

On the numbers, CENTENKA (CENTENKA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.6× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CENTENKA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,184 Cr
Current price
₹544
P/E ratio
11.6×
P/B ratio
0.79×
Book value
₹685
Dividend yield
1.84%
ROCE
9.0%
ROE
7.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is CENTENKA overvalued? CENTENKA P/E vs its sector

CENTENKA's P/E of 11.6× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 1.84% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

CENTENKA P/E
11.6×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
CENTENKA div yield
1.84%
Peer median yield
1.67%

CENTENKA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CENTENKA history (-8%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CENTENKA 2027₹254₹443₹766-16%
CENTENKA 2028₹173₹374₹797-29%
CENTENKA 2029₹123₹317₹800-40%
CENTENKA 2030₹90₹270₹790-48%
CENTENKA 2031₹67₹228₹762-57%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CENTENKA goes up, or doubles?

35%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
19%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
5%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,050 within 5 years

The bull case for CENTENKA

  • Trades at just 11.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.79×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹800.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 7.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹123.

CENTENKA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CENTENKA compounded at -8%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹254₹766, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CENTENKA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
15.6%
80% range₹254–₹766
P(price ↑)35%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
39.6%
80% range₹123–₹800
P(price ↑)24%
P(price 2×)5%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
56.6%
80% range₹67–₹762
P(price ↑)19%
P(price 2×)5%

CENTENKA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CENTENKA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CENTENKA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CENTENKA price target & forecast page.

CENTENKA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CENTENKA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

CENTENKA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CENTENKA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×
DhanCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the CENTENKA MTF page.

CENTENKA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CENTENKA (this stock)11.6×1.84%₹1,184 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About CENTENKA: sector, index & market-cap context

CENTENKA (CENTENKA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,184 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the CENTENKA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CENTENKA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CENTENKA analysis, FAQs

Is CENTENKA (CENTENKA) a good buy?

On the numbers, CENTENKA (CENTENKA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.6× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CENTENKA overvalued or undervalued?

CENTENKA trades at 11.6× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the CENTENKA share price target for 2031?

CENTENKA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹228, with an 80% range of ₹67₹762 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CENTENKA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CENTENKA reaching ₹1,050 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.

What is the bull case for CENTENKA?

Trades at just 11.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 0.79×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in CENTENKA?

Return on equity is a soft 7.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on CENTENKA