CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Centum Electronics Limited (CENTUM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CENTUM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Centum Electronics Limited (CENTUM) trades at ₹3,852,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100.
On the numbers, Centum Electronics Limited (CENTUM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 233.0× earnings, ROE of -12.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CENTUM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How CENTUM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- CENTUM's market cap of 5,685 Cr ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CENTUM's book value of ₹233 ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CENTUM's promoter holding of 46.8% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CENTUM's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 35.0% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CENTUM's 3-year revenue growth of 1.0% ranks in the 24th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CENTUM's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36x is lower than 46% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is CENTUM overvalued? CENTUM P/E vs peers
CENTUM trades at 233.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
CENTUM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CENTUM history (20%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENTUM 2027 | ₹1,889 | ₹3,792 | ₹7,613 | -2% |
| CENTUM 2028 | ₹1,431 | ₹3,734 | ₹9,747 | -3% |
| CENTUM 2029 | ₹1,141 | ₹3,677 | ₹11,843 | -5% |
| CENTUM 2030 | ₹933 | ₹3,620 | ₹14,039 | -6% |
| CENTUM 2031 | ₹778 | ₹3,564 | ₹16,321 | -7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CENTUM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CENTUM
- CENTUM's return on capital employed of 25.5% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,843.
The bear case & risks
- CENTUM's P/E of 233.0x is lower than 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 16.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,141.
CENTUM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years CENTUM compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,889-₹7,613, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CENTUM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CENTUM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CENTUM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CENTUM price target & forecast page.
CENTUM Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CENTUM scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
CENTUM MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CENTUM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 38.52% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.48% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 38.66% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 38.48% | 2.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 38.69% | 2.6× |
| Pocketful | 39.02% | 2.6× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 38.48% | 2.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 55.00% | 1.8× |
| Share India | 38.66% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the CENTUM MTF page.
About Centum Electronics Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Centum Electronics Limited (CENTUM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,685 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the CENTUM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Centum Electronics Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CENTUM analysis, FAQs
Is Centum Electronics Limited (CENTUM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Centum Electronics Limited (CENTUM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 233.0× earnings, ROE of -12.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CENTUM overvalued or undervalued?
CENTUM trades at 233.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the CENTUM share price target for 2031?
CENTUM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,564, with an 80% range of ₹778-₹16,321 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CENTUM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CENTUM reaching ₹7,704 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for CENTUM?
CENTUM's return on capital employed of 25.5% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in CENTUM?
CENTUM's P/E of 233.0x is lower than 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 16.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.