Case study

CENTURYPLY

Century Plyboards

Tread carefully1y model -0.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Century Plyboards (CENTURYPLY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CENTURYPLY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Century Plyboards (CENTURYPLY) trades at ₹757,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Century Plyboards (CENTURYPLY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 62.8× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CENTURYPLY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹16,846 Cr
Current price
₹757
P/E ratio
62.8×
P/B ratio
6.47×
Book value
₹117
Dividend yield
0.13%
ROCE
11.4%
ROE
10.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is CENTURYPLY overvalued? CENTURYPLY P/E vs its sector

CENTURYPLY's P/E of 62.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.13% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

CENTURYPLY P/E
62.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
CENTURYPLY div yield
0.13%
Peer median yield
1.65%

CENTURYPLY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CENTURYPLY history (4%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CENTURYPLY 2027₹500₹754₹1,125-1%
CENTURYPLY 2028₹419₹745₹1,316-2%
CENTURYPLY 2029₹369₹742₹1,487-2%
CENTURYPLY 2030₹326₹737₹1,633-3%
CENTURYPLY 2031₹289₹727₹1,791-4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CENTURYPLY goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
15%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,517 within 5 years

The bull case for CENTURYPLY

  • Century Plyboards is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,487.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 62.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹369.

CENTURYPLY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years CENTURYPLY compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹500₹1,125, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CENTURYPLY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.5%
80% range₹500–₹1,125
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹369–₹1,487
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
4.2%
80% range₹289–₹1,791
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)15%

CENTURYPLY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CENTURYPLY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CENTURYPLY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CENTURYPLY price target & forecast page.

CENTURYPLY Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CENTURYPLY scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

CENTURYPLY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CENTURYPLY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.6%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.6%3.4×

Compare every broker on the CENTURYPLY MTF page.

CENTURYPLY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CENTURYPLY (this stock)62.8×0.13%₹16,846 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Century Plyboards: sector, index & market-cap context

Century Plyboards (CENTURYPLY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,846 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the CENTURYPLY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Century Plyboards's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CENTURYPLY analysis, FAQs

Is Century Plyboards (CENTURYPLY) a good buy?

On the numbers, Century Plyboards (CENTURYPLY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 62.8× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CENTURYPLY overvalued or undervalued?

CENTURYPLY trades at 62.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the CENTURYPLY share price target for 2031?

CENTURYPLY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹727, with an 80% range of ₹289₹1,791 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CENTURYPLY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CENTURYPLY reaching ₹1,517 (2×) within 5 years is 15%.

What is the bull case for CENTURYPLY?

Century Plyboards is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in CENTURYPLY?

A rich 62.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 10.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on CENTURYPLY