CERA
Cera Sanitaryware Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Cera Sanitaryware Limited (CERA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CERA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Cera Sanitaryware Limited (CERA) trades at ₹6,062,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, Cera Sanitaryware Limited (CERA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 31.6× earnings, ROE of 18.2%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CERA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How CERA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- CERA's market cap of 7,818 Cr ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CERA's book value of ₹1,049 ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CERA's promoter holding of 54.4% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CERA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 17.0% ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CERA's 3-year revenue growth of 10.0% ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CERA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05x is lower than 86% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is CERA overvalued? CERA P/E vs peers
CERA trades at 31.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
CERA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CERA history (9%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CERA 2027 | ₹4,318 | ₹6,489 | ₹9,751 | +7% |
| CERA 2028 | ₹3,928 | ₹6,946 | ₹12,281 | +15% |
| CERA 2029 | ₹3,769 | ₹7,435 | ₹14,665 | +23% |
| CERA 2030 | ₹3,580 | ₹7,958 | ₹17,691 | +31% |
| CERA 2031 | ₹3,477 | ₹8,518 | ₹20,870 | +41% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CERA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CERA
- CERA's return on equity of 18.2% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CERA's return on capital employed of 22.4% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹14,665.
The bear case & risks
- CERA's P/E of 31.6x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,769.
CERA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years CERA compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4,318-₹9,751, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CERA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CERA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CERA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CERA price target & forecast page.
CERA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CERA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
CERA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CERA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 29.91% | 3.3× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 29.88% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 29.91% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 29.95% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 30.02% | 3.3× |
| Anand Rathi | 29.91% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 29.88% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the CERA MTF page.
About Cera Sanitaryware Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Cera Sanitaryware Limited (CERA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,818 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the CERA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Cera Sanitaryware Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CERA analysis, FAQs
Is Cera Sanitaryware Limited (CERA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Cera Sanitaryware Limited (CERA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 31.6× earnings, ROE of 18.2%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CERA overvalued or undervalued?
CERA trades at 31.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the CERA share price target for 2031?
CERA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹8,518, with an 80% range of ₹3,477-₹20,870 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CERA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CERA reaching ₹12,124 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for CERA?
CERA's return on equity of 18.2% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CERA's return on capital employed of 22.4% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in CERA?
CERA's P/E of 31.6x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.