CESC
CESC
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CESC (CESC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CESC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CESC (CESC) trades at ₹174,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, CESC (CESC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CESC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CESC overvalued? CESC P/E vs its sector
CESC's P/E of 15.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.0×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 3.44% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
CESC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CESC history (5%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CESC 2027 | ₹107 | ₹168 | ₹262 | -0% |
| CESC 2028 | ₹89 | ₹167 | ₹309 | -1% |
| CESC 2029 | ₹76 | ₹165 | ₹352 | -2% |
| CESC 2030 | ₹67 | ₹165 | ₹394 | -2% |
| CESC 2031 | ₹60 | ₹163 | ₹430 | -4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CESC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CESC
- A 15.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 12.6% return on equity.
- Pays a 3.4% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹352.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹76.
CESC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CESC compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹107–₹262, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CESC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CESC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CESC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CESC price target & forecast page.
CESC Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CESC scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CESC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CESC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.3% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.3% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.3% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the CESC MTF page.
CESC vs peers,sector comparison
About CESC: sector, index & market-cap context
CESC (CESC) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹23,087 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the CESC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CESC's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CESC analysis, FAQs
Is CESC (CESC) a good buy?
On the numbers, CESC (CESC) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CESC overvalued or undervalued?
CESC trades at 15.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.0×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CESC share price target for 2031?
CESC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹163, with an 80% range of ₹60–₹430 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CESC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CESC reaching ₹338 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.
What is the bull case for CESC?
A 15.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 12.6% return on equity. Pays a 3.4% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in CESC?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.