Case study

CGCL

Capri Global Capital Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +6.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Capri Global Capital Limited (CGCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CGCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Capri Global Capital Limited (CGCL) trades at ₹230,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Capri Global Capital Limited (CGCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.6× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CGCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹22,154 Cr
Current price
₹230
P/E ratio
19.6×
P/B ratio
3.07×
Book value
₹75
Dividend yield
0.09%
ROCE
11.7%
ROE
16.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How CGCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for CGCL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is CGCL overvalued? CGCL P/E vs peers

CGCL trades at 19.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CGCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CGCL history (34%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CGCL 2027₹144₹244₹413+6%
CGCL 2028₹124₹259₹537+12%
CGCL 2029₹111₹274₹678+19%
CGCL 2030₹101₹291₹832+26%
CGCL 2031₹96₹308₹987+34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CGCL goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
62%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹461 within 5 years

The bull case for CGCL

  • CGCL's P/E of 19.6x is lower than 64% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CGCL's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹678.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹111.

CGCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CGCL compounded at 34%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹144-₹413, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CGCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.0%
80% range₹144-₹413
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
19.1%
80% range₹111-₹678
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
33.7%
80% range₹96-₹987
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)33%

CGCL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CGCL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CGCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CGCL price target & forecast page.

CGCL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CGCL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

CGCL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CGCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox33.60%3.0×
Zerodha33.70%3.0×
Groww33.64%3.0×
Dhan33.70%3.0×
Kotak Neo33.67%3.0×
Paytm Money33.64%3.0×
PocketfulCHEAPEST33.39%3.0×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand Rathi33.70%3.0×
Share India33.60%3.0×

Compare every broker on the CGCL MTF page.

About Capri Global Capital Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Capri Global Capital Limited (CGCL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,154 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CGCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Capri Global Capital Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CGCL analysis, FAQs

Is Capri Global Capital Limited (CGCL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Capri Global Capital Limited (CGCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.6× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CGCL overvalued or undervalued?

CGCL trades at 19.6× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CGCL share price target for 2031?

CGCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹308, with an 80% range of ₹96-₹987 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CGCL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CGCL reaching ₹461 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for CGCL?

CGCL's P/E of 19.6x is lower than 64% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CGCL's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CGCL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on CGCL