CHALET
Chalet Hotels
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Chalet Hotels (CHALET) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CHALET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Chalet Hotels (CHALET) trades at ₹824,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.
On the numbers, Chalet Hotels (CHALET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing premium at 28.0× earnings, ROE of 19.2%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CHALET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CHALET overvalued? CHALET P/E vs its sector
CHALET's P/E of 28.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.12% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
CHALET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CHALET history (-2%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHALET 2027 | ₹495 | ₹741 | ₹1,120 | -8% |
| CHALET 2028 | ₹387 | ₹690 | ₹1,243 | -14% |
| CHALET 2029 | ₹309 | ₹639 | ₹1,309 | -20% |
| CHALET 2030 | ₹255 | ₹591 | ₹1,341 | -26% |
| CHALET 2031 | ₹216 | ₹550 | ₹1,384 | -31% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CHALET goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CHALET
- High return on equity (19.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,309.
The bear case & risks
- At 28.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹309.
CHALET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CHALET compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹495–₹1,120, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CHALET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CHALET price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CHALET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CHALET price target & forecast page.
CHALET Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CHALET scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CHALET MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHALET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the CHALET MTF page.
CHALET vs peers,sector comparison
About Chalet Hotels: sector, index & market-cap context
Chalet Hotels (CHALET) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,083 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the CHALET Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Chalet Hotels's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CHALET analysis, FAQs
Is Chalet Hotels (CHALET) a good buy?
On the numbers, Chalet Hotels (CHALET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing premium at 28.0× earnings, ROE of 19.2%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CHALET overvalued or undervalued?
CHALET trades at 28.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CHALET share price target for 2031?
CHALET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹550, with an 80% range of ₹216–₹1,384 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CHALET doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CHALET reaching ₹1,605 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.
What is the bull case for CHALET?
High return on equity (19.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
What are the risks in CHALET?
At 28.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.