Case study

CHALET

CHALET HOTELS LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +9.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

62Score

CHALET HOTELS LIMITED (CHALET) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CHALET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CHALET HOTELS LIMITED (CHALET) trades at ₹860,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.

On the numbers, CHALET HOTELS LIMITED (CHALET) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 35.2× earnings, ROE of 19.2%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CHALET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹18,827 Cr
Current price
₹860
P/E ratio
35.2×
P/B ratio
5.09×
Book value
₹169
Dividend yield
0.12%
ROCE
17.1%
ROE
19.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How CHALET ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is CHALET overvalued? CHALET P/E vs peers

CHALET trades at 35.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CHALET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.4y of CHALET history (15%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CHALET 2027₹634₹940₹1,395+9%
CHALET 2028₹576₹1,028₹1,835+20%
CHALET 2029₹557₹1,124₹2,269+31%
CHALET 2030₹544₹1,230₹2,780+43%
CHALET 2031₹547₹1,345₹3,306+56%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CHALET goes up, or doubles?

61%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
73%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
37%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,719 within 5 years

The bull case for CHALET

  • CHALET's return on equity of 19.2% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹940 (+9%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,269.

The bear case & risks

  • CHALET's P/E of 35.2x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹557.

CHALET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 7.4 years CHALET compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹634-₹1,395, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CHALET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 7.4 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.4%
80% range₹634-₹1,395
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
30.8%
80% range₹557-₹2,269
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
56.4%
80% range₹547-₹3,306
P(price ↑)73%
P(price 2×)37%

CHALET price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CHALET simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CHALET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CHALET price target & forecast page.

CHALET Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CHALET scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

CHALET MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHALET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.71%3.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.68%3.4×
Groww29.73%3.4×
Dhan29.68%3.4×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money32.62%3.1×
Pocketful29.74%3.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.68%3.4×
Bajaj Broking31.00%3.2×
Share India29.71%3.4×

Compare every broker on the CHALET MTF page.

About CHALET HOTELS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

CHALET HOTELS LIMITED (CHALET) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,827 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CHALET Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CHALET HOTELS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CHALET analysis, FAQs

Is CHALET HOTELS LIMITED (CHALET) a good buy?

On the numbers, CHALET HOTELS LIMITED (CHALET) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 35.2× earnings, ROE of 19.2%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CHALET overvalued or undervalued?

CHALET trades at 35.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CHALET share price target for 2031?

CHALET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,345, with an 80% range of ₹547-₹3,306 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CHALET doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CHALET reaching ₹1,719 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.

What is the bull case for CHALET?

CHALET's return on equity of 19.2% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹940 (+9%).

What are the risks in CHALET?

CHALET's P/E of 35.2x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on CHALET