CHAMBLFERT
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CHAMBLFERT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) trades at ₹451,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100.
On the numbers, Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.4× earnings, ROE of 20.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CHAMBLFERT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How CHAMBLFERT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- CHAMBLFERT's market cap of 18,057 Cr ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's book value of ₹260 ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's promoter holding of 61.3% ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 24.0% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's 3-year revenue growth of -9.0% ranks in the 11th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10x is lower than 77% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is CHAMBLFERT overvalued? CHAMBLFERT P/E vs peers
CHAMBLFERT trades at 9.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
CHAMBLFERT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CHAMBLFERT history (20%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAMBLFERT 2027 | ₹308 | ₹474 | ₹729 | +5% |
| CHAMBLFERT 2028 | ₹275 | ₹499 | ₹904 | +11% |
| CHAMBLFERT 2029 | ₹256 | ₹525 | ₹1,077 | +16% |
| CHAMBLFERT 2030 | ₹243 | ₹552 | ₹1,252 | +22% |
| CHAMBLFERT 2031 | ₹228 | ₹580 | ₹1,481 | +29% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CHAMBLFERT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CHAMBLFERT
- CHAMBLFERT's P/E of 9.4x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's return on equity of 20.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's return on capital employed of 25.2% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHAMBLFERT's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,077.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹256.
CHAMBLFERT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years CHAMBLFERT compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹308-₹729, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CHAMBLFERT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CHAMBLFERT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CHAMBLFERT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CHAMBLFERT price target & forecast page.
CHAMBLFERT Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CHAMBLFERT scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
CHAMBLFERT MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHAMBLFERT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.26% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.26% | 3.3× |
| Groww | 30.35% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 30.26% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.30% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 30.35% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 30.47% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 30.26% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 33.00% | 3.0× |
| Share India | 30.35% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the CHAMBLFERT MTF page.
About Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,057 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the CHAMBLFERT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CHAMBLFERT analysis, FAQs
Is Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (CHAMBLFERT) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.4× earnings, ROE of 20.0%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CHAMBLFERT overvalued or undervalued?
CHAMBLFERT trades at 9.4× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the CHAMBLFERT share price target for 2031?
CHAMBLFERT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹580, with an 80% range of ₹228-₹1,481 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CHAMBLFERT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CHAMBLFERT reaching ₹901 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for CHAMBLFERT?
CHAMBLFERT's P/E of 9.4x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CHAMBLFERT's return on equity of 20.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CHAMBLFERT's return on capital employed of 25.2% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in CHAMBLFERT?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.