CHEMPLASTS
Chemplast Sanmar
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Chemplast Sanmar (CHEMPLASTS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CHEMPLASTS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Chemplast Sanmar (CHEMPLASTS) trades at ₹209,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100.
On the numbers, Chemplast Sanmar (CHEMPLASTS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 111.0× earnings, ROE of -6.8%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CHEMPLASTS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CHEMPLASTS overvalued? CHEMPLASTS P/E vs its sector
CHEMPLASTS's P/E of 111.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
CHEMPLASTS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CHEMPLASTS history (-49%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHEMPLASTS 2027 | ₹72 | ₹120 | ₹201 | -44% |
| CHEMPLASTS 2028 | ₹33 | ₹68 | ₹141 | -68% |
| CHEMPLASTS 2029 | ₹16 | ₹38 | ₹94 | -82% |
| CHEMPLASTS 2030 | ₹8 | ₹22 | ₹61 | -90% |
| CHEMPLASTS 2031 | ₹4 | ₹12 | ₹38 | -94% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CHEMPLASTS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CHEMPLASTS
- Chemplast Sanmar is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹94.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 111.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹16.
CHEMPLASTS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CHEMPLASTS compounded at -49%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹72–₹201, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CHEMPLASTS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CHEMPLASTS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CHEMPLASTS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CHEMPLASTS price target & forecast page.
CHEMPLASTS Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CHEMPLASTS scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
CHEMPLASTS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHEMPLASTS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.5% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.5% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.5% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the CHEMPLASTS MTF page.
CHEMPLASTS vs peers,sector comparison
About Chemplast Sanmar: sector, index & market-cap context
Chemplast Sanmar (CHEMPLASTS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,309 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the CHEMPLASTS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Chemplast Sanmar's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CHEMPLASTS analysis, FAQs
Is Chemplast Sanmar (CHEMPLASTS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Chemplast Sanmar (CHEMPLASTS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 111.0× earnings, ROE of -6.8%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CHEMPLASTS overvalued or undervalued?
CHEMPLASTS trades at 111.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CHEMPLASTS share price target for 2031?
CHEMPLASTS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹12, with an 80% range of ₹4–₹38 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CHEMPLASTS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CHEMPLASTS reaching ₹429 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for CHEMPLASTS?
Chemplast Sanmar is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in CHEMPLASTS?
A rich 111.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.