Case study

CHEMPLASTS

CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +2.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

30Score

CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED (CHEMPLASTS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CHEMPLASTS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED (CHEMPLASTS) trades at ₹184,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.

On the numbers, CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED (CHEMPLASTS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 111.0× earnings, ROE of -6.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CHEMPLASTS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,903 Cr
Current price
₹184
P/E ratio
111.0×
P/B ratio
1.66×
Book value
₹111
ROCE
0.3%
ROE
-6.8%
Piotroski F-Score
1/8

How CHEMPLASTS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is CHEMPLASTS overvalued? CHEMPLASTS P/E vs peers

CHEMPLASTS trades at 111.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

CHEMPLASTS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.9y of CHEMPLASTS history (-22%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CHEMPLASTS 2027₹112₹187₹313+2%
CHEMPLASTS 2028₹93₹191₹391+4%
CHEMPLASTS 2029₹82₹195₹460+6%
CHEMPLASTS 2030₹73₹199₹541+8%
CHEMPLASTS 2031₹66₹203₹625+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CHEMPLASTS goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹367 within 5 years

The bull case for CHEMPLASTS

  • CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹460.

The bear case & risks

  • CHEMPLASTS's P/E of 111.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CHEMPLASTS's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹82.

CHEMPLASTS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 4.9 years CHEMPLASTS compounded at -22%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹112-₹313, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CHEMPLASTS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 4.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹112-₹313
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.1%
80% range₹82-₹460
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.3%
80% range₹66-₹625
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)25%

CHEMPLASTS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CHEMPLASTS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CHEMPLASTS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CHEMPLASTS price target & forecast page.

CHEMPLASTS Piotroski F-Score: 1/8, how financially strong is it?

1/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CHEMPLASTS scores 1/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

CHEMPLASTS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHEMPLASTS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.89%2.8×
Zerodha36.05%2.8×
Groww36.08%2.8×
Dhan36.05%2.8×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money62.94%1.6×
Pocketful36.02%2.8×
Anand Rathi36.05%2.8×
Bajaj Broking37.00%2.7×
Share India36.03%2.8×

Compare every broker on the CHEMPLASTS MTF page.

About CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED (CHEMPLASTS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,903 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CHEMPLASTS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CHEMPLASTS analysis, FAQs

Is CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED (CHEMPLASTS) a good buy?

On the numbers, CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED (CHEMPLASTS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 111.0× earnings, ROE of -6.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CHEMPLASTS overvalued or undervalued?

CHEMPLASTS trades at 111.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the CHEMPLASTS share price target for 2031?

CHEMPLASTS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹203, with an 80% range of ₹66-₹625 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CHEMPLASTS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CHEMPLASTS reaching ₹367 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for CHEMPLASTS?

CHEMPLAST SANMAR LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in CHEMPLASTS?

CHEMPLASTS's P/E of 111.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CHEMPLASTS's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on CHEMPLASTS