CHENNPETRO
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CHENNPETRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CHENNPETRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CHENNPETRO) trades at ₹1,275,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 75/100.
On the numbers, Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CHENNPETRO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 75/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.5× earnings, ROE of 31.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CHENNPETRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How CHENNPETRO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- CHENNPETRO's market cap of 18,992 Cr ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's book value of ₹746 ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's promoter holding of 67.3% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -5.0% ranks in the 24th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's 3-year revenue growth of -6.0% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18x is lower than 65% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is CHENNPETRO overvalued? CHENNPETRO P/E vs peers
CHENNPETRO trades at 4.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
CHENNPETRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CHENNPETRO history (15%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHENNPETRO 2027 | ₹695 | ₹1,267 | ₹2,311 | -1% |
| CHENNPETRO 2028 | ₹541 | ₹1,259 | ₹2,929 | -1% |
| CHENNPETRO 2029 | ₹449 | ₹1,251 | ₹3,489 | -2% |
| CHENNPETRO 2030 | ₹382 | ₹1,243 | ₹4,048 | -3% |
| CHENNPETRO 2031 | ₹327 | ₹1,235 | ₹4,670 | -3% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CHENNPETRO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CHENNPETRO
- CHENNPETRO's P/E of 4.5x is lower than 95% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's return on equity of 31.8% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's return on capital employed of 34.9% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CHENNPETRO's dividend yield of 4.9% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,489.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹449.
CHENNPETRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years CHENNPETRO compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹695-₹2,311, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CHENNPETRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CHENNPETRO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CHENNPETRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CHENNPETRO price target & forecast page.
CHENNPETRO Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CHENNPETRO scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
CHENNPETRO MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHENNPETRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 37.67% | 2.7× |
| Zerodha | 37.66% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 37.81% | 2.6× |
| Dhan | 37.66% | 2.7× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 37.59% | 2.7× |
| Paytm Money | 37.81% | 2.6× |
| Pocketful | 37.75% | 2.6× |
| Anand Rathi | 37.66% | 2.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 39.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 37.81% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the CHENNPETRO MTF page.
About Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CHENNPETRO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,992 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the CHENNPETRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CHENNPETRO analysis, FAQs
Is Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CHENNPETRO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CHENNPETRO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 75/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.5× earnings, ROE of 31.8%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CHENNPETRO overvalued or undervalued?
CHENNPETRO trades at 4.5× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the CHENNPETRO share price target for 2031?
CHENNPETRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,235, with an 80% range of ₹327-₹4,670 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CHENNPETRO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CHENNPETRO reaching ₹2,551 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for CHENNPETRO?
CHENNPETRO's P/E of 4.5x is lower than 95% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CHENNPETRO's return on equity of 31.8% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CHENNPETRO's return on capital employed of 34.9% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in CHENNPETRO?
High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.