CHEVIOT
CHEVIOT
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CHEVIOT (CHEVIOT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CHEVIOT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CHEVIOT (CHEVIOT) trades at ₹1,129,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.
On the numbers, CHEVIOT (CHEVIOT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 62.1× earnings, ROE of 9.1%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CHEVIOT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CHEVIOT overvalued? CHEVIOT P/E vs its sector
CHEVIOT's P/E of 62.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.22% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
CHEVIOT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CHEVIOT history (-16%/yr drift, 27%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHEVIOT 2027 | ₹648 | ₹908 | ₹1,293 | -18% |
| CHEVIOT 2028 | ₹453 | ₹742 | ₹1,233 | -33% |
| CHEVIOT 2029 | ₹333 | ₹610 | ₹1,131 | -45% |
| CHEVIOT 2030 | ₹248 | ₹501 | ₹1,031 | -55% |
| CHEVIOT 2031 | ₹189 | ₹411 | ₹910 | -63% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CHEVIOT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CHEVIOT
- Pays a 2.2% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,131.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 62.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 508.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Return on equity is a soft 9.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 23% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹333.
CHEVIOT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CHEVIOT compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 27%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹648–₹1,293, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CHEVIOT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CHEVIOT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CHEVIOT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CHEVIOT price target & forecast page.
CHEVIOT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CHEVIOT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CHEVIOT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CHEVIOT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the CHEVIOT MTF page.
CHEVIOT vs peers,sector comparison
About CHEVIOT: sector, index & market-cap context
CHEVIOT (CHEVIOT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹660 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the CHEVIOT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CHEVIOT's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CHEVIOT analysis, FAQs
Is CHEVIOT (CHEVIOT) a good buy?
On the numbers, CHEVIOT (CHEVIOT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 62.1× earnings, ROE of 9.1%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CHEVIOT overvalued or undervalued?
CHEVIOT trades at 62.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the CHEVIOT share price target for 2031?
CHEVIOT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹411, with an 80% range of ₹189–₹910 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CHEVIOT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CHEVIOT reaching ₹2,225 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for CHEVIOT?
Pays a 2.2% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in CHEVIOT?
A rich 62.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 508.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. Return on equity is a soft 9.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.